Chinese regulators change course again–now it’s arrests to stop China’s stock market bear

A week after China’s financial market regulators sent the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets tumbling by announcing that they were ending their direct buying of shares on those exchanges, and days after those same regulators sent shares climbing again by announcing that they would reverse that decision and resume direct purchases, today the Chinese government has indeed decided to end direct share purchases.

Inflation, huh? Central banks can’t measure any but they’re sure it’s a danger that requires action

It gets my vote for the oddest panel at the recently concluded Jackson Hole banker-fest sponsored by the Kansas City Fed. The Saturday session saw officials from the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the U.S. Federal Reserve all saying that while they couldn’t see any inflation in their respective economies, they saw evidence that inflationary pressures are rising.

U.S. 2nd quarter GDP growth revised higher by 1.4 percentage points and U.S. stocks are off to the races

U.S. second quarter GDP growth was revised upwards today to an 3.7% annualized rate, an increase of 1.4 percentage points from the prior estimate. None of the economists surveyed by Bloomberg forecast that big a revision. In addition, contracts to purchase previously owned homes climbed in July for the sixth time in the last seven months.

Is a September rate increase from the Fed truly off the table?

On August 18, the Fed funds futures market pointed to an almost 50/50 chance (48%) of a September move in interest rates off the current zero rate that has held since 2008. On August 25, the odds had fallen to just 28%. And markets were giving an increase in 2015 at all just a 50/50 chance. That was down from 73%. The consensus vote is now for an initial rate increase in March 2016 (72%).