China plays that old growth game again

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Is December really the new September for a Fed taper?

The movement toward a consensus view that the Fed won’t taper until it’s December meeting hit a speed bump today when James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said that the Fed could still move in October. The September call was so borderline, Bullard said, that the Fed might have enough data in a month to begin a very small taper.

I need your Qs for tomorrow night’s Q&A

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Will Sunday’s German elections market a peak for the euro?

Post-election Greece looks like it’s going to need either a small bridge loan or a big bridge loan and debt reduction in late 2013 or early 2014. Portugal looms as an even bigger problem with the country needing to raise $15.8 billion euros ($21.4 billion)–meaning that Portugal will almost certainty need a second full bailout program at the end of 2013 or in early 2014.

Did the Fed decide not to taper because it’s afraid that Congress will do something really stupid?

Looking for any explanation for why the Fed kept its program of buying $85 billion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities intact, it’s language that points toward fiscal tightening that pops out at me. Think about a new all-time record on the Standard & Poor’s 500 and a bond rally today because the Federal Reserve is afraid that Congress could really muck up the U.S. economy in the next few weeks (or days.)

Surprise! No taper from the Fed

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