June 24, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
In the short term volatility itself will bring more selling as computerized trend-following strategies designed to limit risk create more selling. When the price trend turns negative–as it has today after four previous days had left the S&P ahead by about 2%–these strategies say sell in order to keep up with index volatility and to limit the size of future losses
June 23, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Polls show that 79% of voters over 65 say they will definitely vote but only 54% of 18-24 year-old voters say they will definitely vote. That could be critical since in polls older voters have favored “leave” in the referendum while younger voters come down on the side of “stay.”
June 23, 2016 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
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June 22, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The last polls, for what they’re worth, in the Brexit referendum, give a slight lead to “leave” in tomorrow’s vote.
June 22, 2016 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
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June 21, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Just as British bookmakers are soothing some financial market angst over the results of Thursday’s Brexit vote, Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen is turning up the anxiety meter. Basically what Yellen said today is that the Fed is on watch to see whether the U.S. economy will show signs of improvement in growth. That’s a significant shift from last week when Yellen talked about watching to see when the economy showed signs of improvement.
June 20, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The proximate cause of the bounce was a Sunday Times report on a YouGov poll that restored a slight 1 percentage point lead for the “stay” position over “leave” position. The poll put “stay” at 44% with “leave” at 43%. The difference is well within the poll’s margin of error. “Stay” gets a bigger lead among the country’s bookmakers with “stay” at 72%, up from 65% on Friday, according to Betfair.
June 18, 2016 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
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June 17, 2016 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Volatility |
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June 17, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
The U.S. dollar is down for the third straight day and that has given oil prices a chance to recover after six straight declines. The dollar, as measured against the basket of currencies in the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, was down 0.42% today, as of 1:30 p.m. New York time Oil, on the other hand, has rallied today with the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate up 2.75% to $47.48 a barrel
June 16, 2016 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility |
Oil prices are down again today, June 16. As of 1:15 p.m. New York time West Texas Intermediate was off 3.15% to $46.50 a barrel and the Brent benchmark was down by 2.98% to $47.50. $50 a barrel remains a critical barrier with traders unwilling to buy much above that price
June 15, 2016 | Uncategorized |
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