Trick or trend: A seasonal trade in natural gas?
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Market reacts to Fed meeting–and then over-reacts as it hears Fed say rates will stay really low for really longer
Today Friday March 17, the financial markets have moved to the other end of the dial from its pre-meeting worries. Markets have decided that the Fed’s comments indicate that Janet Yellen & Co. are very dovish on inflation and interest rates.At the close of trading on Thursday the 10-year Treasury had dropped to 2.53%, that’s below the peak this week of 2.63%. Today the yield dropped further to 2.50%
Manufacturing wages in China triple in last decade (good news), but still $17 an hour below U.S. level (bad news); wages in other countries actually fell (really bad news)
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...Notes You Need for March 16: French stocks, German stocks, Bank of Japan, housing starts, initial claims, ORCL, NVDA, gold, oil, natural gas
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Winners from the Fed’s move on Wednesday
The jump in the price of gold and the even huger spike in the prices of gold mining stocks tells us something really important about how the financial markets see the Federal Reserve’s action and rhetoric on Wednesday, March 15. Gold for April delivery climbed 2% in New York after the Fed raised its short-term benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points. The VanEck Vector Gold Miners ETF (GDX) roared ahead 7.69%
Dutch voters apparently reject anti-euro, anti-immigrant, anti-Islam Freedom party in first key election test of European Union
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Fed raises interest rates a quarter of a percentage point and Yellen then talks markets in off the ledge
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Oil up today after plunge yesterday: What’s this volatility telling us?
Oil prices have bounced back today from yesterday’s tumble with West Texas Intermediate climbing 1.63% and the Brent international benchmark advancing 1.49% as of 11:45 a.m. New York time. The gain still leaves West Texas Intermediate below $50 a barrel at $48.50. The ostensible reason for today’s climb is a surprise drop in U.S. crude inventories of 237,000 barrels last week,
Most U.S. oil producers have hedged against a drop in oil prices
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...Notes You Need for March 14: Macao revenue, PPI inflation, U.S. dollar, yen, German economic confidence, VIX
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Saudis reverse 1/3 of production cuts; oil market trembles
Saudi Arabia has told OPEC that it will not play sucker to countries that won’t meet OPEC’s targets for production cuts. Russia, Iraq, and the United Arab Emirates have not yet delivered the production cuts they agreed to. Saudi Arabia has said that it raised production back above 10 million barrels a day in February.
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