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Archive for the ‘Volatility’ Category

Adding Vanguard Short Term Treasury ETF to Picks Portfolio; #2 Best Pick for the Next 6 Months

Last night I made Vanguard Short Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) the No. 2 pick in my Special Report 10 Best Picks for the Next 6 Months of 2019. Today I'm adding it to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. I'm calling this my Judy Shelton Pick. I'll explain what that means in a moment. Despite the challenging words […]

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Special Report: 10 Best Picks for the Last Six Months of 2019

This isn't  time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in global growth in 2019 and for a U.S. recession in 2020 […]

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Chip recovery keeps slipping further away, Broadcom says

Today Broadcom (AVGO) cut its annual sales forecast, saying that the U.S.-China trade war will wipe out the rebound in orders that it had predicted for the second half of 2019. Revenue at the chipmaker for fiscal 2019 will be $22.5 billion instead of the $24.5 billion the company predicted just three months ago. That […]

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Emerging markets rally? With global economic worries? With U.S.-China trade war still active?

There are so many currents and counter currents in this market that it makes New York's historically turbulent tidal estuary Spuyten Duyvil look like the turtle pond at 104th Street in Central Park near my house. For example, today, while the general market worried (a bit) about the global economy and the course of the […]

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Materials stocks up today even as U.S.-China trade fears linger

I think the strong move in commodities stocks today has more to do with continued weakness in the U.S. dollar than it does with any renewed faith in growth in the global economy. After all the U.S.-China trade war doesn't look any more settled today than it did last week. But the dollar, as measured […]

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U.S. stocks wander as China trade worries nag

The market doesn't go up every day so it's important not to over-react to minor weakness. As of the close today New York time the Standard & Poor's 500 index was off a slight 0.03%; the Dow Jones Industrial Average had slipped 0.05%. The NASDAQ Composite was down 0.01% and the Russell 2000 small cap […]

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FANG techs (plus more) fall on news of investigations

Both Congress and government regulators are taking aim at big tech. The House Judiciary Committee is planning an investigation into whether digital platform companies are using their market power to harm competition. The Federal Trade Commission is taking the lead in an antitrust probe of Facebook (FB) and Amazon (AMZN) The Justice Department is opening an […]

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Buying this Vanguard Treasury ETF on Monday for my ETF Portfolio–and for my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios

Today I sold the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) out of my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. And today I'm replacing it in that portfolio with the Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (VGIT). Now obviously a Treasury bond ETF isn't in the same asset class as an emerging markets ETF. But what I'm looking for--always--in […]

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Selling Finland ETF out of Volatility Portfolio on U.S.-China knock-on effect

I will sell the iShares MSCI Finland ETF (EFNL) out of my Volatility Portfolio tomorrow. The EuroZone in general and the Finnish economy in particular is heavily dependent on exports and the slowdown in the global economy resulting from the U.S.-China trade war isn't good news for exporters in the region. That comes on top […]

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Further lowering China exposure in my portfolios

This morning Wall Street is buzzing with talk that the U.S.-China trade war could stretch on to 2035. I think there's just about no chance of that. But we aren't looking at the quick resolution of the dispute that seemed possible just 10 days ago. And we are looking for multiple rounds of escalation and […]

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