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Archive for the ‘Volatility’ Category

The squeeze on the U.S. shale patch just keeps getting worse–selling Cheniere Energy out of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio

The second quarter of the year is, historically, the weakest quarter for global demand for natural gas. That's not a good forecast since the global glut of natural gas has already gotten so large that U.S. exporters of liquified natural gas have no place to send it. LNG demand from China has slumped thanks to […]

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Oil rallies on actual inventory numbers after falling yesterday on projections

The Energy Information Administration reported today that U.S. oil inventories at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub fell by 2.3 million barrels. That was the biggest draw down in inventory at Cushing in three months. Supplies at the Cushing Hub reflect production in the U.S. oil shale basins. Total U.S. crude inventories rose by 1.4 million barrels […]

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Adding Xilinx to my Volatility Portfolio as one last FOMO pick through the end of the year

On November 6 I added chip maker Xilinx (XLNX) to my Volatility Portfolio as one last FOMO pick to go with Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) and Cirrus Logic (CRUS). The stock closed that day at $93.77. It closed essentially unchanged at $93.29 today. My argument for the timing of this buy is that investors and especially […]

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Tech stocks acting like they’re good to rally to the end of the year

I'm using my Volatility Portfolio pick Cirrus Logic (CRUS) as an indicator of the trend in technology stocks--particularly chip stocks--through the end of 2019. And right now that indicator is pointing up. On November 1, the company's shares jumped to $72.43 from $58.49 on way better than expected earnings. That was a 23.8% move to […]

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Today I’ve posted the finally completed and corrected Special Report: 3 ways to higher income in a low yield desert

Sorry this took so long but the complete Special Report with all three strategy recommendations is finally up. You can find it in the Special Reports section of the JubakAssetManagement.com site.

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Markets climb on Chinese statements promising tariff roll backs on signing of Part 1 deal

Ministry of Commerce spokesperson Geo Feng set off a rally in financial markets today by saying,  “In the past two weeks, top negotiators had serious, constructive discussions and agreed to remove the additional tariffs in phases as progress is made on the agreement.” Stocks and bonds gave up part of their gains on a later […]

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Oil earnings expected to disappoint starting with BP tomorrow and then continuing with ExxonMobil and Chevron on Friday

The oil supermajors--ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX),Royal Dutch Shell (RDS), Total (TOT) and BP (BP)--are expected to show a 42% year over year average plummet in third quarter earnings when they report earnings this week. That's an even bigger slump than the 18% drop in oil pries during the period. You can expect oil company CEOs […]

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Re-adding tech pick Twilio to my Volatility Portfolio

On October 18 I made Twilio (TWLO) one of my 3 picks for the next wave in tech profits in my Special Report of that name. Here's a standalone post on that stock for bookkeeping purposes: Twilio is  my favorite play in the red-hot cloud software platform sector. (To keep you up with the jargon, Twilio […]

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Microsoft’s earnings beat last night sets up Amazon and Apple earnings to come

Last night, October 23, after the market close,  Microsoft (MSFT) reported earnings and revenue beats for its fiscal first quarter. Revenue climbed 14% year over year, beating Wall Street forecasts by $860 million. Earnings of $1.38 a share exceeded Wall Street projections by 14 cents a share. In its after-hours conference call Microsoft guided to […]

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So how’s my “Tech is back” call (and picks of SWKS and CRUS) doing?

On October 8 I wrote "Tech is back" led by fact-based speculation that Apple (AAPL) had asked supplier to increase production of components for the iPhone 11 by 10%. That, obviously, was a good sign for Apple, which is set to announce earnings on October 30. And, I argued even better for Apple suppliers with […]

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