TCEHY

I got these two key China trends wrong: Selling  BABA and TCEHY

I got these two key China trends wrong: Selling BABA and TCEHY

When I added Alibaba (BABA) to my Jubak’s Picks Portfolio on April 29, 2022, and Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) to my Volatility Portfolio on January 3, 2022, I thought two things were about to happen in China. First, I thought that the People’s Bank would unleash enough stimulus to more than compensate for the slowdown in China’s economy. And, second, I thought that we’d seen the end of the regulatory crackdown on China’s big entrepreneurial technology companies. I got both trends wrong.

A day after bad news of an economic slowdown in China, officials talk up China’s Internet giants

A day after bad news of an economic slowdown in China, officials talk up China’s Internet giants

Today, Tuesday May 17, China’s top economic official, Vice Premier Liu He, said that the government will support the development of digital economy companies and their public stock listings. The comments delivered after a symposium with the CEOs of some of the country’s largest private technology companies came just a day after the National Bureau of Statistics reported that industrial output fell 2.9% in April from April 2021, and that retail sales contracted 11.1%. Financial markets in China and the United States interpreted the remarks as a public show of support for China’s Internet companies

Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the Week China’s back!

Please watch my new YouTube video: Trend of the Week China’s back!

My one-hundredth-and-ninth-eighth YouTube video “Trend of the Week China’s back!” went up today. At the end of last week, the Chinese government sent signals that it would make moves to stimulate the slowing economy amid widespread lockdowns, as well as letting up slightly in its crackdown on internet companies. This has sent Chinese tech stocks soaring, with multiple percentage-point increases in a few hours. In this video, I look at Tencent (TCEHY), JD.com (JD), Alibaba (BABA) and Meituan (MPNGF) and talk about why this is an important trend to follow, but why we’ll only see these stocks go up in the short term before government pressure sends them back down.

Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

I expect a continuation of the “disagreement” between domestic Chinese and foreign investors about the risk and direction of China’s stock marketThe two groups see very different worlds when they look at Chinese stocks. China’s domestic investors see a market ready for a big rally from a severe bear market on support from the People’s Bank of China, stock market friendly changes in policy from China’s financial regulators, and promises of fiscal stimulus from the Beijing government. Foreign investors see a the dangers of a confrontation with the United States and the potential for economic sanctions on China

I got these two key China trends wrong: Selling  BABA and TCEHY

Should you invest in China now? Attacking the puzzle with buys on Monday of TCEHY and FXI

In other years this would clearly be the time to jump into China stocks. What we have right now is a classic, tried-and-true set up for big gains from buying China stocks. With a “but” or two that suggests a cautious strategy. But I will be buying shares of Tencent Holdings and the FXI ETF on Monday, January 3.