December 4, 2023 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
I’m hearing some chatter that says bond traders and analysts are stepping aside from the bond rally. Or are planning to do so. Their argument is that the move has been too far, too fast. Specifically, I’ve heard talk of selling if the yield on the 10-year Treasury hits 4.00%. On Friday, the yield was 4.20%. So I’d be watching to see if anything like a bond rally pause or reversal materializes during the days ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting on December 13
March 28, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
It's all my fault. I go away for two days to tour colleges with my daughter, and global bond markets soar as everybody in the world decides to seek safety simultaneously. Today's pause has very little to do with my return to my desk. The rise in bond prices has been...
March 28, 2018 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The plunge in U.S. stocks and in technology shares in particular have sent Treasury prices up and yields down, breaking the 20-basis point range that’s held since early February. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell 8 basis points on Tuesday and is down another 2 basis points today to 2.76% as of 12:30 p.m. Bond traders are watching for any signs that we could be looking at a replay of 2017.
June 3, 2014 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
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May 28, 2014 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The rally in U.S. Treasuries keeps on keepin’ on. But all indications are that the Treasury rally is built on the relative attractiveness of Treasuries rather than on a forecast of falling U.S. economic growth. At least that’s what the mix of stronger Treasury prices plus a steady market for stocks argues to me.
