Stocks bounce back as bond prices take a breather and yields fall slightly

Stocks bounce back as bond prices take a breather and yields fall slightly

As of 2 p.m. New York Time today, March 1, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 2.57% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher by 2.30%. The NASDAQ Composite had climbed 2.80% and the NASDAQ 100 had gained 2.83%. The small cap Russell 2000 had added 3.30% and the iShares 2000 MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) was up 2.90%. Yep, it didn’t take much of an improvement in the Treasury market to send investors and traders screaming back into stocks.

Special Report: Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021–Stage 2 of 3: My rules for selling in the “When you win, you lose market” (and sells of ILMN, CTVA, WST, and VMW)

Special Report: Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021–Stage 2 of 3: My rules for selling in the “When you win, you lose market” (and sells of ILMN, CTVA, WST, and VMW)

On to Stage #2 in my Special Report: “Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021. And to my rules for the sells and hedges in Stage #2 for 2021: When you win, you lose. (I just posted sells for ILMN, CTVA, WST and VMW)

Special Report: Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021–Updated Part 1 and 2 of 3 with my 10 picks to buy now, my first 4 sells, and my first 2 hedges

Special Report: Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021–Updated Part 1 and 2 of 3 with my 10 picks to buy now, my first 4 sells, and my first 2 hedges

2021 is shaping up as an especially challenging year for investors. Much, much more challenging than 2020. I don’t think we can count on this rally running uninterrupted through the year. That would be simple, wouldn’t it? We’d all know how to profit from that scenario. And I don’t think the market is about to drop off a cliff from its current record highs. That would be traumatic. But, still, we do know how to protect a portfolio in that scenario. And even how to profit from a prolonged plunge–if we can bring ourselves to place those short and Put Options bets. Instead 2021 is likely to be one of those years with a Rally Stage and then a correction (or “something”) to be followed by a last quarter of 2021 that is, at this moment, close to completely unpredictable. That would make 2021 one of those years that gives investors a chance to be wrong several times over, to botch timing on the upside and the downside, and to let emotions power some really bad investment moves. I don’t pretend that I’ve got this year’s market stages down perfectly–although I think the outlines for the first two stages for 2021 are pretty clear. I don’t imagine that I’ve got the timing for navigating these stages clocked perfectly–although I do think I understand “generally” when the market is likely to switch gears. And that lets me lay out for you a likely pattern for 2021 and to suggest stocks and ETFs to use to navigate this year. Part of the point in getting as specific as I can at this point isn’t that I expect that I’ve got everything right, but to lay out concrete markers that will let you and me adjust portfolios as the year progresses. I’m dividing this Special Report into three parts.