Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Buybacks Fuel This Rally

Please Watch My New YouTube Video: Trend of the Week Buybacks Fuel This Rally

Today I posted my one-hundred-ninety-eighth YouTube video: Trend of the Week Buybacks Fuel This Rally. This week’s Trend of the Week: Buybacks Fuel This Rally. We’re just coming out of an informal “blackout” season where about 90% of companies don’t announce any buybacks as they get closer to earning season. For most companies, that blackout ends in November. This year, stock buybacks are running at a record rate. In the first 10 months of the year, there were about $1 trillion worth of buybacks, up about 8% year-to-year. We’re going into November with buyback wind in our sales at a time when companies are sitting on a lot of cash. Plus this is the time to do a buyback if a company wants to get ahead of the 1% tax hike on buybacks starting in January. As long as we don’t run into a big extraneous event, (like a flare-up in US-China tensions), I think buybacks will keep the rally going until the end of the year.

With sell of Apple tomorrow I’ll start to unwind my end of the year rally buys

With sell of Apple tomorrow I’ll start to unwind my end of the year rally buys

When I bought shares of Apple (AAPL) in my Jubak Picks and Volatility Portfolios, I was looking for gains from the end of the year rally (which kind of fizzed out) and the traditional Santa Claus rally (which came through as expected) to drive shares higher in the short term. Since that November 23, 2021 pick, shares of Apple, as of the close today January 4, were up 12% to $179.70, just above my $179 target price for this short-term trade.

Apple is Pick #5 for my Special Report: It’s a Market Melt Up!! (And for my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios tomorrow)

Apple is Pick #5 for my Special Report: It’s a Market Melt Up!! (And for my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios tomorrow)

It was sure hard to see a market melt up today, November 22. The Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.32% and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.26%. Market leaders in the melt up rally like Applied Materials (AMAT) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down 1.65% and 0.96%, respectively. And it was even harder to see the trend I thought might be on its way in my Friday, November 19 post “Forward into the past with tech stocks:We’re seen this market before.” The rotation into tech stocks that I saw on Friday turned into loses of 3.12% for Nvidia (NVDA), and 1.92% for Alphabet (GOOG.)
But I suggest that you take a look at Apple’s (AAPL) performance today

A much better day than modest gains in the indexes indicate

A much better day than modest gains in the indexes indicate

The Standard & Poor’s 500 finished up 0.29% today. The tech- and bank-heavy NASDAQ Composite was up 0.54%. The Small Cap Russell 2000 was ahead 0.79%. Always good to finish to the upside, of course, when you’re looking for the end of a dip (and assurance that it was just a dip.)
But the better news for the market as a whole came from individual stocks.