March 7, 2024 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, Stock Alerts |
Right now Tesla (TSLA) is a case study in how sentiment on a stock changes, how long it takes sentiment to change (and recover), and the stages of sentiment change. You understanding of this process should be our guide to whether you want to own Tesla and when. Tesla (TSLA) could potentially lose money in 2024, Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas wrote in a note to investors this week. And he cut his Tesla earnings projections by 25% to $1.51 a share from a prior $2.04. Gross profit margins will fall to 11.4% (excluding regulatory credits that Tesla gets paid by automakers looking to meet EPA mileage and emissions rules.) And this is from a Tesla bull.
December 15, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The saying is that stocks don’t have memories. They don’t know where they once traded and they don’t have any desire to rise or fall to where they once traded. On the other hand, investors do–have memories that is. They do think that stocks will trade back to former levels–when opportunity offers–and it takes a lot of break that conviction. Which is why trading patterns, the ones captured in technical analysis, persist for such long period. And if you needed evidence, just look at how stocks traded after the Federal Reserve’s interest rate pivot yesterday.
December 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
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December 7, 2021 | AAPL, AMAT, ASML, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, NVDA, NXPI |
Here we go again. It’s not that we really have any more information about the Omicron Variant–we certainly don’t know what its effects will be on global economic acuity–but just as fears that the Covid-19 variant would send the world back into lockdown crushed stocks last week, this morning, December 7, a belief that Omicron won’t be all that bad has taken root and stocks are soaring in morning action.
November 12, 2021 | AMD, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), one of the hottest momentum stocks in the melt-up market, seems to have recovered its trend. So I’m adding the shares to my Volatility Portfolio on Monday. Please regard this as a short-term trade.The company’s fundamentals also look solid with very good growth prospects from the new chip line up. So I’ll be adding the shares to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio on Monday.
June 9, 2021 | Daily JAM, F, Jubak Picks |
Today I made Ford (F) my fifth pick for a falling market in my Special Report: Five Picks and Five Hedges for a Falling Market on my JubakAM.com subscription site. Some of the logic of that pick is laid in n more detail in the Special Report. With momentum stocks showing signs of flagging, I think adding more value stocks or special situations with very specific growth “events” set to trigger a cascade of good news is indicated. In the case of Ford the company is building good momentum on its introduction of popular electric vehicles such as an electric Mustang and an electric F150 pickup truck.
February 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, SEDG, Stock Alerts |
As I was prowling through the wreckage of momentum stocks in the last few days for my post on Tuesday, "They shoot momentum stocks, don't they" I noticed one very lonely spot of green. While stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA) and Twilio (TWLO) were down 11.64% and 12.28,...
February 25, 2020 | Daily JAM |
The last two days of a plunging stock market on fears that the outbreak of coronavirus will last longer and spread farther than previously imagined have taken a huge chunk out of some momentum stocks. Just today shares of Nvidia (NVDA) fell another 4.11%, Twilio...
December 7, 2017 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
The Standard & Poor’s 500 finished up 0.29% today. The tech- and bank-heavy NASDAQ Composite was up 0.54%. The Small Cap Russell 2000 was ahead 0.79%. Always good to finish to the upside, of course, when you’re looking for the end of a dip (and assurance that it was just a dip.)
But the better news for the market as a whole came from individual stocks.
December 5, 2017 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
In my Morning Briefing post around noon today I said it would be critical to see if the early slight move up in the prices of stocks in technology and other risky sectors held through the end of the day. I noted that the market had a recent tendency to sell off morning gains in afternoon sessions. But individual stocks of the recent most-sold group managed, in most cases to finish in the green for the day, although lower than their morning highs.
December 5, 2017 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
An absolutely inconclusive day so far. Â Which is actually kind of positive. The upward move in technology shares and other risky sectors isn’t strong enough to qualify as a bounce. But it’s certainly not a continuation of the strong selling on Monday and extending backward into last week.
December 4, 2017 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Let’s just say that today’s action in the U.S. stock market raised my worry quotient significantly. I’m still not looking for a major sell off but it significant (further) damage to momentum stocks and risk-on sectors? Yeah that looks probable. Two things–the two things in the headline to this post–created most of my worry today as I look back on the session.
