Russia looks to be cheating on its oil production cuts

Russia looks to be cheating on its oil production cuts

The Russian government insists that the country has cut oil output as promised. But all the available numbers day that Russian crude oil is flowing at above levels agreed with OPEC. Of course, it’s hard to tell because Russia has stopped reporting key export figures. Russia restricted oil-output data last year due to its “sensitive” nature. And Russia’s Federal Statistics Service stopped publication of crude and condensate output earlier this year until April 2024, following a government decree. That has left oil industry analysts seeking to extrapolate Russia’s crude exports from data such as seaborne shipments. From that indicator it looks like Russian crude flows to international markets are more than 1.4 million barrels a day higher than they were at the end of last year.

It looks like “No deal” to raise oil prices at OPEC meeting tomorrow

It looks like “No deal” to raise oil prices at OPEC meeting tomorrow

Ahead of tomorrow’s OPEC “consultations” in Algiers, Saudi Arabia put an offer on the table today to reduce oil production to January levels and Iran rejected it. Iran wants to increase its current production of 3.6 million barrels a day to 4 million barrels, the level before international sanctions devastated the country’s oil exports. The Saudi offer would have reduced Saudi Arabia’s production by 500,000 barrels a day, but only if other OPEC members agreed to freeze production at current levels.