December 5, 2020 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
On Friday American Airlines (AAL) said it it seeing a slowdown in demand because of surging coronavirus cases. (Again.) Â And that the company now has a weaker outlook on airline bookings heading into the year-end holidays. The news from American Airlines echoes a similar warning the day before from Delta Air Lines (DAL)
November 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Expect a week for positioning for the big news scheduled for next week and the week thereafter. The U.S. Food & Drug Administration’s vaccines advisory committee meets on December 8-10. Pfizer’s application for an emergency use authorization for its coronavirus vaccine is on the agenda. Since none of us has seen the data submitted to the FDA, we don’t know for sure, but Wall Street believes that the advisory committee will recommend approval of the vaccine. That could put the FDA on track to approving the vaccine within any where from a couple of days to a week or two. Various sources in the White House and at Pfizer have said that the vaccine could be on its way to American arms as soon as two days after approval. You can bet that a “Yes” from the advisory committee will move stocks–every bit of positive vaccine news has pushed stocks significantly higher over the last two weeks and there’s no reason to think that any positive FDA news would be any different. The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meets on December 16
November 27, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
It was a short session today, the Friday after Thanksgiving, on Wall Street but that didn’t stop the Standard & Poor’s 500 and the NASDAQ Composite from setting new all-time records. The S&P 500 closed up 0.24%. The NASDAQ Composite finished ahead by 0.92%. Volume, as you might expect, was relatively light–just 60% of the average daily volume this year. That didn’t prevent some really big moves today. But, by and large, these moves didn’t take place where you might have expected.
November 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
Is this as good as it gets? That’s an important question today as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closes up 1.54% to 30,045.84, the first close above 30,000 ever. Other indexes were just as strong. The Standard & Poor’s 500 gained 1.62% by the close. The NASDAQ Composite was up 1.31% and the NASDAQ 100 was ahead 1.46% at the end of the session. The Russell 2000 small cap index ended the day ahead 1.78%. It’s not hard to see why stocks and investors are so ebullient: There’s just so much good news.
September 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Today looks like a strong rally but I've got my doubts. At the close the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 1.60%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 1.34%. The technology laden NASDAQ Composite was higher by 2.26%. The NASDAQ 100, dominated by the technology...
September 2, 2020 | Daily JAM |
On September 1 Â I argued that "Now there are two Puts supporting the market as the Vaccine Put joins the Powell Put." Those two bets--that the Federal Reserve will continue to flood the financial markets with cash and will increase the flow if the markets start to...
August 29, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Something...
August 24, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Forget about a "V-shaped" recovery or a "W-shaped" bounce-pullback-move up again recovery. The talk on Wall Street is now about a "K-shaped" recovery where a handful of companies and their shares sooar ahead but where the average company and its stock lags way, way...
July 11, 2020 | Daily JAM |
...the start of earnings season on Tuesday, July 14 when JPMorgan Chase (JPM) kicks off second quarter reports. The most important event of the week, I'd argue, however, is the Netflix (NFLX) earnings report after the close on Thursday, July 16. That report and the...
July 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Stocks refused to follow the headline job gains reported today--and instead focused upon the uncertainty in the economy looking forward as the re-opening economy gave off signs that the recovery might be about to stall--or even step backward. Even though the June jobs...
June 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter |
I think anyone who tells you they "know" where stocks are going next week is either smoking something (and I'd like some, please) or is looking to sell you something. In the last two weeks we've seen a market that was totally willing to look past all the evidence that...
June 11, 2020 | Daily JAM |
I don't know who started the rout today, human beings or machines. But conditions were ripe for selling from both sources. On the human side, investors were looking at gains of 50% or more in the last month in stocks that had been crushed by the coronavirus recession....
