Special Report: “An Investor’s Guide to Selling Over the Next Four Months” with just one market “arc” left to post

Special Report: “An Investor’s Guide to Selling Over the Next Four Months” with just one market “arc” left to post

I think these financial market curves will let you map out the longer stories of Federal Reserve interest rate increases and a potential recession–and then chart the shorter stories of war in the Ukraine, global oil and natural gas crunches, summer Pandemic relief, global food crisis, computer chip shortages (and whatever else you think might be important) under those longer curves. That will let you decide when to buy and sell (and what) in order to profit from short-term stories while preparing your portfolio for the longer arcs.

Fed’s Brainard sinks Treasuries and  stocks with talk of more and faster inflation fighting

Fed’s Brainard sinks Treasuries and stocks with talk of more and faster inflation fighting

In remarks prepared for a Tuesday speech to the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said “Currently, inflation is much too high and is subject to upside risks. The committee is prepared to take stronger action if indicators of inflation and inflation expectations indicate that such action is warranted.” And she called for reducing the Fed’s balance sheet as early as next month. The bond market certainly heard Brainard’s remarks as a promise of more action faster.

Putin strikes back at Western sanctions; stock market expects more as cybersecurity stocks soar (and I’m adding SentinelOne to my Jubak Picks Portfolio today)

Putin strikes back at Western sanctions; stock market expects more as cybersecurity stocks soar (and I’m adding SentinelOne to my Jubak Picks Portfolio today)

You didn’t expect Russian President Vladimir Putin to just shrug at Western sanctions that now include theU.S. Treasury clamping serious restrictions on Russia’s central bank, did you? Putin has banned all Russian residents from transferring hard currency abroad, including for servicing foreign loan contracts. Russia has $478 billion in external debt. Much of that is now in danger of default. (It’s not clear to me how this helps the Russian economy. Anyone want to lend or do business with a country that says, “Hey, forget about getting paid?) Today in New York trading, it’s clear that U.S. traders and investors don’t think these moves are Putin’s last. Cybersecurity stocks are soaring. And why not since Russia and it hacker gangs are about to demonstrate exactly why everybody needs to buy more security software. Which is why I’m adding shares of SentinelOne to my Jubak Picks Portfolio today.

Stocks rise on McConnell debt ceiling news and Xi meeting hopes

Stocks rise on McConnell debt ceiling news and Xi meeting hopes

Stocks climbed today on news that Republicans in the Senate had agree to suspend the debt ceiling until December. That puts off a potential “selective” default by the U.S. government until that month. Stocks, especially those with China exposure, also rallied on news today that China’s president Xi Jinping would meet with U.S. President Joe Biden before the end of the year. The assumption is that the two leaders would be able to take some of the current tension out of the U.S.-China relationship.