September 19, 2022 | Daily JAM, Videos |
My one-hundred-and-seventy-seventh YouTube video: “Trend of the Week Seasonal Patterns” went up today. For today’s Trend of the Week, we’re looking at the calendar and yearly stock patterns. September is notoriously the worst-performing month of the year for the S&P since the 1950s. October is a scary month because of s history of crashes and one-day plunges during the month. That history does leave investors spooked. But! Starting around November, we get the January effect, where small-cap stocks tend to go up, and tech stocks get a lift from sales during the third and fourth quarters. You can also look for positive earnings news at about this time of year. around this time–though this year’s retail outlook is not great. Overall, things may start getting better as the seasons start to change.
September 13, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
Back on September 4 I posted a video on YouTube and this site “September and October 2021 Worse Than Usual for Investors?” that argued that September, the worst performing month for the Standard & Poor’s 500 from 1950 through 2020, and October, historically the home of the biggest one-day or one-week stock market crashes, stood a good change of being even worse than usual this year. I cited factors such as the Fed’s September 22 monetary policy meeting, a potential stalemate over the raising the debt ceiling, and economic uncertainty created by the Delta Variant (see last weeks weak jobs report as evidence on that front) as reasons for thinking that we could see a repeat of the historical weakness and volatility this September and October–but with a bit of supercharging. I don’t want to revisit all the reasons I gave in that video–Hey, just watch it, ya know?–but let me add a couple of points that I didn’t mention in the video. Like the effects of the continued shortage of chips on car manufacturers and hence car sales. Like the run-off in federal Pandemic economic help that’s now scheduled for this fall. Like signs of weakness in consumer sentiment and business confidence. Instead of more on “the problem” lets talk about potential solutions- the “what should I do stuff.”
September 4, 2021 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Videos, Volatility |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My forty-sixth YouTube video “September and October 2021 Worse Than Usual for Investors” went up today. The “solutions” post will go up Sunday.
February 27, 2017 | Daily JAM, FB, Stock Alerts |
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April 30, 2016 | Mid Term |
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