October 25, 2022 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
What now? I’ve been working to play defense in this Bear Market before there was even a Bear Market. Back in December, I added a drug stock, Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio because it looked like Big Pharma was getting dollars from investors and traders looking for safe havens.
In February I added oil and natural gas, ahead of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. And since then I’ve added ETFs that track agricultural commodities. An ETF based on the U.S. dollar. And inverse ETFs that are designed to go up when prices in emerging markets or the small-cap sector of the U.S.market do down. And, of course, I’ve been selling: early on consumer stocks that looked vulnerable to inflation and recession and more recently technology stocks with exposure to China and the U.S./China trade war. But WHAT NOW? Here’s where I see investors and the market to be right now.
April 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter |
Still waiting for a second bottom before going hog wild on buy-on-the-dip buying. Some interesting prices here, certainly, for Middleby (MIDD), HBFC (HDB), Westpac Bank (WBK), and Infineon (IFNNY0, but I'm still convinced that we'll see another dip in...
April 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, QSR, Stock Alerts |
There was that little detour for the complete and utter meltdown in the oil market, but now I'm resuming my plan to sell into the "re-opening the economy rally." That rally is in its last stages I believe, with its life extended by another coronavirus rescue bill, the...
April 20, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Last week President Donald Trump delivered a "nothing burger" of guidance for re-opening the economy. The President's guidance followed the steps that most public health experts have laid out for when and how to re-open the economy. A massive increase in testing from...
March 30, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Shares of Walt Disney Company (DIS) were up 3.53% in today's general market bounce. The Standard & Poor's 500 was up 85.18 points, of 3.35%, to 2626 today. My conclusion is that we're still in the midst of a bear market rally and that stocks will resume their...
March 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
Okay, you knew the punchline was coming. After dropping 11.9% in 1929 as the Crash and Great Depression got rolling, the Standard & Poor's 500 fell 28.5% in 1930. And then, in 1931, it staged that big short-term rally that we've just surpassed. After starting the...
March 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said the surge in Americans filing for unemployment benefits is “not relevant.” Mnuchin told CNBC, “The president is protecting those people.” For the week ended March 21, initial claims for unemployment soared to a record 3.28...
March 25, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Back on March 10 I bought Put Options, a bet that a stock will fall, on Nvidia (NVDA). I sold those Puts on March 17 for a gain of 106%. When I bought the Puts Nvidia traded at $261.08 a share. When I sold those Puts Nvidia traded at $219.7 a share. The shares have...
March 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, FQVLF, Stock Alerts |
I still like my long-term thesis for copper miner First Quantum Minerals (FQVLF)--that copper prices will rise with a pick up in global economic growth and that when growth resumes the world will be looking at a shortage of copper. First Quantum has a lot of new...
March 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, SERV, Stock Alerts |
I wish I hadn't bought ServiceMaster Global Holdings (SERV) in my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio back on December 17. But I did. It was a bargain then. It's not now. And now I think it's time to cut my losses after some relatively minor gains on March 24 (2.97%) and...
March 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As I write this at 1:20 p.m. New York time on Wednesday, March 25, the Senate is debating the $2 billion (or is it even more now?) coronavirus rescue bill. The consensus is that the chamber will vote and pass the bill sometime this afternoon and then send it to the...
