So where do bio go for safety and profits after Powell’s speech: First take is farm commodities

So where do bio go for safety and profits after Powell’s speech: First take is farm commodities

Pretty much everything got clobbered today after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell promised that the Fed would raise interest rates and keep them high until inflation is under control. In other words, no quick turn to cutting interest rates in the second half of 2023. So chip stocks were down today, August 26, with Nvidia (NVDA) plunging 9.23% at the close. Consumer stocks were down with Shake Shack (SHAK) tumbling 8.61%. Financial technology stocks were down with Block (SQ) shedding 7.72%. Climate change stocks, an extremely hot sector lately, were down with EVgo (EVGO) bleeding 7.86%. Hide in gold? No way. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) was down 1.22%. (Better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick, I suppose.) But agricultural commodity ETFs? Green in a sea of red.

What to sell in a Bear Market rally–and two sells for Monday, Omnicom and Alcoa

What to sell in a Bear Market rally–and two sells for Monday, Omnicom and Alcoa

I ended my recent post “This looks like the Bear Market rally I’ve been waiting for” on my subscription JubakAM.com site by saying “Enjoy the ride but look to sell shares of companies that look most exposed to the return of recession/high interest rates/inflation worries. That post had been up for all of 18 minutes before I got the perfectly reasonable question “Like what?” And I promised an answer so here are my preliminary thoughts on what I’d look to sell in a Bear Market rally

Another day, another record for the S&P 500 and Dow

Another day, another record for the S&P 500 and Dow

The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed up 0.65% today and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.53% to set new record highs. Technology stocks rebounded from recent weakness with the NASDAQ finishing ahead by 1.05%. But the big impetus for the continued gains in the big indexes came from a sense that the economy is returning to normal.

Positioning ahead of earnings season uncertainty

Positioning ahead of earnings season uncertainty

As I wrote in my earlier Morning Brief, the stock market seems to be selling (generalization I know) what I'm calling "re-opening dependent" stocks. And nervous about the tech stock winners that have led the recent days in this rally ahead of next week's earnings...