June 1, 2023 | AMAT, AMD, CVS, Daily JAM, Dividend Income, EMR, GOOG, ILMN, Jubak Picks, Long Term, MSFT, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks, TSM, Volatility |
Artificial intelligence really is a paradigm-breaking, transformative technology. Right now, investors are so enthusiastic about the sector, especially the obvious leader Nvidia (NVDA), that we’re looking at a potential bubble that will collapse with much gnashing of teeth and I-told-you-so “wisdom” casting doubt on the reality of the entire endeavor. I think a bubble is indeed possible. Nvidia did trade at a trailing twelve-month price-to-earnings ratio of 196 on May 31, after all. But I think you do want to own the sector now–because the breaking of the bubble, if it does break is, in my opinion, two quarters or more away. And you want to own the sector for the long run–say, 10 years or more–because it is such a game changer for so much of the economy. But what to own? I’ve put together a list of the 10 stocks that I think are the best way to participate in the AI gold rush.
February 16, 2023 | CHPT, Daily JAM, DIS, EVGO, Jubak Picks, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks, TWLO, Volatility |
The rally on February 15 sure looked like a speculative blowout of the kind that often signals a market top. For me, it was the last straw and I’m selling into the rally. This post tells you what I’m selling and how I arrived at these decisions. But first, a few words on Wednesday’s move.
June 18, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Yesterday, growth stocks climbed in the face of signals from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday that interest rates increase were coming sooner–as soon as the end of 2022–than expected. That seemed puzzling. May be, one line of thought (mine) had it, investors and traders decided that growth stocks would outrun any increase in interest rates that might take place in 2022 or 2023. Today, we got the selling that many had expected yesterday
March 24, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
What looked like one of the rotation markets we’ve seen recently with selling of technology shares and buying of cyclicals and post-vaccine recovery stocks turned into a market-wide sell off by the close.
March 4, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Back on February 23, I wrote a post with the headline “Everything is down today” and added that while I wasn’t buying everything on the dip I was doing some selective nibbling. Today’s market looks almost exactly the same–if a bit more so because this drop is coming after recent weakness.
March 3, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
At 3:30 p.m. New York time today, March 3, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was 1.47%. That’s up from yesterday’s 1.42%. So much for any thoughts that yesterday’s rally in bonds and drop in yields might be the beginning of a larger move.
February 23, 2021 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
Yesterday tech tumbled but utilities, commodities like copper and even gold, and many “vaccine recovery” plays gained. Today almost everything is down.
Which to me is a sign that this now 6-day downturn is getting closer to an end. Right now, as of 1:30 a.m. in New York the NASDAQ is off another 2.32%. The brings the drop from the mid-february high to 6%. A little more than half way to a 10% correction. I don’t think we’re at the bottom yet. But I am looking for growth stories–which is not the same as “momentum growth stocks”–where the selling has created an opportunity.
February 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports, You Might Have Missed |
2021 is shaping up as an especially challenging year for investors. Much, much more challenging than 2020. I don’t think we can count on this rally running uninterrupted through the year. That would be simple, wouldn’t it? We’d all know how to profit from that scenario. And I don’t think the market is about to drop off a cliff from its current record highs. That would be traumatic. But, still, we do know how to protect a portfolio in that scenario. And even how to profit from a prolonged plunge–if we can bring ourselves to place those short and Put Options bets. Instead 2021 is likely to be one of those years with a Rally Stage and then a correction (or “something”) to be followed by a last quarter of 2021 that is, at this moment, close to completely unpredictable. That would make 2021 one of those years that gives investors a chance to be wrong several times over, to botch timing on the upside and the downside, and to let emotions power some really bad investment moves. I don’t pretend that I’ve got this year’s market stages down perfectly–although I think the outlines for the first two stages for 2021 are pretty clear. I don’t imagine that I’ve got the timing for navigating these stages clocked perfectly–although I do think I understand “generally” when the market is likely to switch gears. And that lets me lay out for you a likely pattern for 2021 and to suggest stocks and ETFs to use to navigate this year. Part of the point in getting as specific as I can at this point isn’t that I expect that I’ve got everything right, but to lay out concrete markers that will let you and me adjust portfolios as the year progresses. I’m dividing this Special Report into three parts.
January 27, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Shares of GameStop (GME) were up another 134.84% today< January 27, to close at $347.51. The stock traded at just $17.25 on January 4, 2021. The heady gains in GameStop have led traders to look for other heavily shorted stocks that might go up BIG as short sellers are forced to buy shares in order to cover their bets that the stocks would fall. So AMC (AMC), the country's largest operator of (closed) movie theaters, gained 301.21% today to close at $19.90. The shares traded at $1.98 on January 5, 2021.
Traders also cast their eyes at American Airlines (AAL), which gained 6.63% today after a mention on Reddit's Wall Street Bets forum tagged "AAL, the next GME.) And it looks like the big gains in these stocks that have come at the expense of short sellers (in what is a classic short squeeze) could be having a negative effect on stock prices outside these retail favorites.
November 10, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, Mid Term |
The recent drop in the prices of technology shares--the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) was down 1.86% today, November 10, after retreating 0.72% yesterday, November 9, certainly draws the eye of any investor or trader looking for potential bargains. We're not at...
October 13, 2020 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, TWLO, Volatility |
This is something of a catch up post. On October 5 I added Twilio (TWLO) to my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios. I announced that buy in a post on October 2 and then again in my Special Report: "Your Investing Guide for the Next 6 Dangerous Stock Market Months" I...
October 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks, TWLO |
Twilio (TWLO), which makes cloud-based software, climbed 13% today after analysts raised price-target after Thursday's investors day event. (For example Morgan Stanley raised its price garget for Twilio to $270 from $240. I would note the stock closed at $290 today,...