November 23, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, VGIT, VGSH, Volatility |
On what looks like solid odds for interest rate increases in 2022, I’m selling my remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios.
March 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, FXY, JD, Jubak Picks, VGIT, Volatility |
Let’s be clear. I don’t have any idea of when the current selling in technology and high-valuation growth momentum stocks will end. It does seem likely to me, even after the March 9 bounce, that the rotation into cyclicals, vaccine recovery stocks, and value stocks will continue for a while. From that perspective, I’m glad that I added Invesco KBWB Bank ETF (KBWB), Vulcan Materials (VMC), Caterpillar (CAT), MGM Resorts International (MGM) and Coca Cola (KO) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio since the middle of February. And that I added Dow (DOW) and Citigroup (C) to my Dividend Portfolio in Mid-December. (All those picks are in the black since my purchase date. You can check the online portfolios to see by how much.) But now that the NASDAQ Composite has dropped into an official correction–down 10% from its February 12 high–I’d like to be holding some more cash in case
February 9, 2021 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, IEF, Jubak Picks, Perfect Five-ETFs, VGIT, Volatility |
A year ago, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note stood at 1.59%. From that point yields fell, leading to big gains for Treasuries and other bonds. Yields were down to 0.73% as of the week of April 15, 2020. And then hit their low for 2020 during the week of August 2 at 0.55%. Since then the story for long Treasuries has been just the reverse. By October 4, the yields on 10-year Treasuries were back ump to 0.78%. 0.83% by November 1. 0.93% on December 6. And then 1.16% today February 9. The forecast right now is that yields for long Treasuries aren’t done climbing either.
April 20, 2020 | Daily JAM, FXI, Perfect Five-ETFs, Stock Alerts |
Right now it's hard to find a good asset to use to diversity a low-risk portfolio such as my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. Gold works most of the time except when stock investors and traders use it as a source of cash to meet margin calls on stocks. Utilities work at least...
August 14, 2019 | Daily JAM, GDX, IEF, Mid Term |
Last night I added Step #1 to my Special Report 5 Is Your Portfolio Ready for the Next Big? The post below is a cut and paste of the material I added to the Special Report. I'm posting it separately here to make it a bit more accessible. In my macro picture, I wrote,...
August 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Is a Recession coming? I don't mean "someday." Someday the sun will go nova but I don't need to price that in to my investment strategy. But a Recession in 2020 or 2021? That's something to take into account. And to prepare for to the degree possible. Or a Credit...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VGIT, VGSH, Volatility |
Treasury prices have been a little weak over the last two weeks. As a consequence the Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) and the Vanguard Short Term Treasury ETF (VGSH), for example, have dropped from highs on June 25 of $66.03 and $60.94, respectively, to...
June 27, 2019 | Daily JAM, GOLD, Morning Briefing, VGIT, VGSH |
Today with the yield on the 10-year Treasury down to 2.02%, a drop of 2 basis points, two Wall Street heavy weights are predicting that we haven't seen a bottom in yield yet. Not by a long shot. Goldman Sachs today cut its forecast for the year-end yield on the...
June 18, 2019 | CTVA, Daily JAM, Special Reports, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This isn't  time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in...
June 5, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Special Reports |
Finally, Part 1 The Crisis in Global Demand, from my Special Report: The Crisis in Global Capitalism and 5 Ways to Position Your Portfolio. On May 29, U.S. stocks took another step lower with the Standard & Poor's 500 closing down 0.69% at 2783. Â News reports on...
June 2, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Stock Alerts, VGIT, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
Today I sold the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) out of my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. And today I'm replacing it in that portfolio with the Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (VGIT). Now obviously a Treasury bond ETF isn't in the same asset class as an...