GDP growth ticks lower but wage gains pick up speed: Market takes possibility of four interest increases from Fed in 2018 more seriously

GDP growth ticks lower but wage gains pick up speed: Market takes possibility of four interest increases from Fed in 2018 more seriously

U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.3% in the first quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced this morning. Economists had expected growth of 2.1%. In the fourth quarter of 2017, the U.S. economy had grown at an annualized rate of 2.9%. But the rate of growth for the U.S. economy was overshadowed by other data in this morning’s report showing a significant increase in wages and inflation.

Jobs number strong but income growth disappoints

Jobs number strong but income growth disappoints

The U.S. economy added a net 228,000 jobs in November, the Labor Department reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg were looking for a gain of 195,000. That kept the unemployment rate at 4.1%, the lowest since 2000. Disappointingly, however, average hourly earnings increased by just 0.2%, less than the 0.3% gain expected by economists surveyed by Briefing.com That took the year over year gain in average hourly earnings to 2.5%

Ah, if only a strong economy guaranteed a strong stock market

It’s important to remember that a strong U.S. economy doesn’t guarantee a climbing U.S. stock market. We can see that in likelihood that despite that economic strength the stocks in the U.S. Standard & Poor’s 500 are projected to have turned in yet another quarter–the fifth in a row–of declining year to year earnings when all the numbers are added up for the second quarter of 2016.