Another round of higher oil prices headed our way

Another round of higher oil prices headed our way

Today, April 21, reports from a number of different sources are pointing to lower oil production–which will mean higher oil prices. Even from current levels. And oil prices are significantly higher in the past three weeks. At 3:00 p.m. New York time today U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate traded at $103.44 a barrel, up 1.61% on the day. On April 11 West Texas Intermediate traded for just $94.29 a barrel.

Please watch my new YouTube video: “Time to buy oil on the dip”

Please watch my new YouTube video: “Time to buy oil on the dip”

We’ve had a pretty good dip over the last few days in oil prices. I think that comes from a trading pullback from a quick run-up in prices, as well as optimism that the war in Ukraine will not last as long as people had thought. The oil stocks I added to my portfolios in January have done quite well. In this video, I look at a few of them: ConocoPhillips (COP), Pioneer (PXD), Cheniere (LNG), Equinor (EQNR), and the Energy Sector SPDR (XLE). I think many of these are set to continue rising as we see continued gains in raw material prices; plus, it doesn’t hurt that some pay a healthy dividend as well!

Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

On Friday, the Iranian government said an agreement to revise the nuclear deal with Iran may happen soon. All the stood in way, according to the Iranians was the U.S. decision designate the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organizations. Surely, with Europe teetering on the edge of an energy emergency, the U.A would bite the bullet and agree to change the status of the Islamic Revolutionary Guide. But while Iranians seemed to say “No big deal” a re-rating of the Islamic Revolutionary Guide remained a deal breaker for the United States.

Oil is up, stocks (outside energy) are down–how long will this anti-correlation last?

Getting the the timing right on oil prices (and oil stocks) is very tricky–so I’m making just a limited move tomorrow, Monday, February 28

On Saturday the European Union nations that control SWIFT, the dominant global network connecting banks, announced that they would expel some specific Russian banks from the network. The U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom agreed with the move. The U.S. and its European allies left open the question of sanctions directly on Russia’s central bank.

The move to deny access to SWIFT means that the named Russian banks, and I’m not naming them because I haven’t been able to find a list, won’t be able to pay other banks or receive funds from other banks. They will not be able to transact business with international banks over the SWIFT network for their client businesses. I’d expect that out of an abundance of understandable caution, many Western banks will refuse to do business with Russian banks at all.

Natural gas–especially liquified natural gas–looks set to continue move higher

Natural gas–especially liquified natural gas–looks set to continue move higher

The Independent Commodity Intelligence Services published its supply/demand outlook for liquified natural gas today, Monday, February 7. The conclusion: Higher supply deficits for 2022 despite the addition of 24 million tons of LNG capacity in 2021. ICIS projects that supplies will increase by just 5.3 million tons in 2022. Demand is forecast to increase by 13.8 million tons.

Market rides energy shares higher

Market rides energy shares higher

This morning the U.S. Energy Information Administration surprised the markets with the report of a bigger than expected decline in oil stockpiles. Crude inventories fell by 10 million barrels for the week ended August 16. The prior week showed a drawdown of 2.7...