At least the unemployment numbers were good enough not to accelerate the rout
It’s not that the number was great. But 117,000 is much better than the 84,000 consensus projection by economists
It’s not that the number was great. But 117,000 is much better than the 84,000 consensus projection by economists
Financial markets didn’t need this morning’s bad news from the consumer sector. Personal income rose by 0.1% in June—below the 0.2% increase in May and the slowest rate of growth since November—and personal spending fell by 0.2% after a 0.1% increase in May.
Private sector payrolls grew by just 83,000 in May. That was far below the 268,000 private sector jobs added in April and the consensus projection by economists of 180,000. So why, at 11 a.m. New York time was the Dow Jones Industrial Average down just 0.54%?
If U.S. stocks hadn’t plunged yesterday on worries that the U.S. economy was slowing, you could bet that traders would be looking to sell today. Economists are looking for tomorrow’s jobs number to show the private sector to have added 180,000 jobs in May. That would be a huge drop from the 268,000 jobs added in April. But no one is sure how much disappointment is already baked into stocks.
Sales of existing homes dropped by 0.8% to an annual rate of 5.05 million in April, but initial claims for unemployment fell to 409,000 for the week ended on May 14.
This morning’s report showing nonfarm payrolls up 244,000 in April took a lot of the fear out of a stock market that had convinced itself in the last few days that the sky was falling on U.S. economic growth.
The stock market is selling off on a “disappointing” increase in initial claims for unemployment. First-time claims for unemployment benefits rose to 397,000 for the week ending March 5 from 371,000 for the previous week. Traders, of course, know that the week-to-week swings in the initial claims number are meaningless. But if you need some volatility to make some trading profits, this data is as good an excuse as any.