Trick or trend: Emerging markets don’t like the jump in U.S. Treasury yields
Cash flows for emerging market stocks turned negative in the last week of February, according to the Institute for International Finance. Cash flows for emerging market debt turned negative last week. The data show daily outflows of $290 million in the last week. That compares to daily inflows of about $325 million in February.
Saturday Night Quarterback says (on a Sunday), For the week ahead watch…
... the dollar. The dollar continued to fall last week. The dollar spot index (DXY) of the dollar against a basket of other major trading currencies is now down 4.32% for the year (as of the close on November 6.) More recently, the dollar is down 5.3% since June 29....
Trick or trend: Will the weak dollar ever turn higher?
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Of course,...
If the dollar gets stronger, it won’t be good news for emerging market assets
The weak dollar of the past few months has been a boon to emerging market assets. It has made the dollar-denominated interest payments that many companies in these economies need to make cheaper in local currency terms. It has helped support financial assets in...
China’s exports get hit by coronavirus disruption in the rest of the global economy
We won't know until March 31 when he purchasing managers' indexes for China are released but it looks like China will see its first quarterly contraction of its economy in decades and the weakest year since 1976. The problem is that just as Chinese factories are going...
Selling emerging markets short ETF EUM out of my Volatility Portfolio
I don't know whether you've been able to hear it over all the other market noise--All the shouting on Brexit, for example--but there is a distinct and increasingly loud call from Wall Street that 2020 is the year to get back into emerging market assets. I don't happen...
Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…
... central bank week. The Federal Reserve announces changes to U.S. benchmark interest rates on Wednesday, December 11. The central bank is expected to keep rates at current levels. The European Central Bank meets a day later, on Thursday, December 12. It too is...
People’s Bank adds $126 billion in liquidity to Chinese economy
With China's economy expected to slow further in September after poor results in July and August, the People's Bank of China cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves to the lowest level since 2007. The required reserve ratio for all banks will be...
Step #3 Adding more risk hedges in my Special Report on getting ready for the next Big One
As I wrote in my August 26 post "Risk and uncertainty soared on Friday--and not for the reasons you might first think" I think that Friday's retaliatory tariffs from China and then the Trump administration's retaliation to the retaliation--plus rhetoric from President...
Selling Emerging Markets ETF out of my ETF Portfolio on Monday
In an ideal world, I would have finished my Special Report on the Crisis in Global Capitalism On my subscription JubakAM.com site by now so I could place this sell--and the coming buy of a Treasury ETF--in the context of that crisis. But this isn't an ideal world....
