March 10, 2022 | Daily JAM, Videos, Volatility |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and eleventh YouTube video “Russia’s looming default” went up today.
January 24, 2022 | Daily JAM, Short Term, Volatility |
When I posted over the weekend that coming increase in interest rates from the Federal Reserve and the possibility of soaring energy prices from a Russia/Ukraine conflict and the ensuring sanctions by Western allies against Russia constituted a double whammy on emerging market assets and developing economies. A strong dollar and higher U.S. interest rates would exacerbate a looming debt crisis (yes, yet again) in the developing world, and higher oil and natural gas prices (and tighter supplies) would hit developing economies really really hard. I said then that I’d be looking for hedges to insure against and profit from the downside risk in emerging market assets. Well, things have moved faster than I expected
December 12, 2021 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, Mid Term |
In late November non-resident cash flows to emerging market assets, excluding China, turned negative for the first time since March 2020 and the Pandemic global economic dip, according to the Institute of International Finance.
October 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Satur... To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing...
March 7, 2021 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Cash flows for emerging market stocks turned negative in the last week of February, according to the Institute for International Finance. Cash flows for emerging market debt turned negative last week. The data show daily outflows of $290 million in the last week. That compares to daily inflows of about $325 million in February.
November 8, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
... the dollar. The dollar continued to fall last week. The dollar spot index (DXY) of the dollar against a basket of other major trading currencies is now down 4.32% for the year (as of the close on November 6.) More recently, the dollar is down 5.3% since June 29....
August 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Of course,...
August 4, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The weak dollar of the past few months has been a boon to emerging market assets. It has made the dollar-denominated interest payments that many companies in these economies need to make cheaper in local currency terms. It has helped support financial assets in...
March 27, 2020 | Daily JAM |
We won't know until March 31 when he purchasing managers' indexes for China are released but it looks like China will see its first quarterly contraction of its economy in decades and the weakest year since 1976. The problem is that just as Chinese factories are going...
December 18, 2019 | Daily JAM, EUM, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
I don't know whether you've been able to hear it over all the other market noise--All the shouting on Brexit, for example--but there is a distinct and increasingly loud call from Wall Street that 2020 is the year to get back into emerging market assets. I don't happen...
December 8, 2019 | Daily JAM |
... central bank week. The Federal Reserve announces changes to U.S. benchmark interest rates on Wednesday, December 11. The central bank is expected to keep rates at current levels. The European Central Bank meets a day later, on Thursday, December 12. It too is...
September 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
With China's economy expected to slow further in September after poor results in July and August, the People's Bank of China cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves to the lowest level since 2007. The required reserve ratio for all banks will be...