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Posts Tagged ‘U.S. economy’

On GDP growth there’s good news and bad news and more bad news

The U.S. economy grew at a 1.9% annualized rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported this morning. The good news: The 1.9% growth in GDP was above the 1.6% rate forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The bad news: That 1.9% growth rate was down from the 2% annualized growth rate in the […]

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U.S. manufacturing disappoints with continuing contraction for September

All the major U.S. stock indexes fell today as the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index for Manufacturing disappointed by sinking further into contraction territory. At 47.8 for September, the index hit a 10-year low. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected the the index would tick up from its 49.1 reading in August to […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

...that the financial markets will attempt to use this week's truckload of economic data to establish a trend line for the economy--that looks beyond the U.S.-China and impeachment news noise. The data deliveries start on Tuesday with the Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers Index for September. The index showed the manufacturing sector in contraction […]

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August numbers say U.S. consumer is in decent shape; business investment still lags

Consumer spending on goods and services, which accounts for about two-thirds of gross domestic product, increased by just 0.1% in August from July, the smallest gain in six months, according to the Commerce Department today. Personal income was up 0.4% in August. Which makes the lag in consumer spending a little worrying since it suggests […]

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Trick or trend: U.S. service sector accelerates in August

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Yesterday the other 80% of the economy checked in. After Wednesday's report from the ISM […]

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Decent job growth in July; bond market prices in 100% chance of another interest rate cut on September 18

The U.S. economy added 164,000 jobs in July. That's down from the 193,000 jobs added in June (revised down from an initial 224,000) and slightly higher than the 160,000 jobs forecast by economists surveyed by Briefing.com At 3.7% the headline unemployment rate was even with the 3.7% rate in June. The U6 unemployment rate, which […]

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China and tariffs aside, there’s other news on the economy today and it’s negative

Today's release of the Purchasing Managers Index for Manufacturing for July got overshadowed by President Donald Trump's announcement that he would impose a 10% tariff on an additional $300 billion in Chinese exports to the United States beginning on September 1. But that report held important negative news for the manufacturing sector and for U.S. […]

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Trick or Trend: Despite the good news from consumers, the U.S. manufacturing sector slips into a “technical recession”

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The overall U.S. economy grew at a better than expected 2.1% year over year rate […]

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Goldilocks is alive and well, thanks to the U.S. consumer

The U.S. economy grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.1% in the second quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had projected that year over year growth in GDP would fall to 1.8%. So today's number is stronger than expected but still very much weaker than first […]

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A pause before tomorrow’s GDP report–and on worries about global growth

U.S. stocks paused as expected today ahead of tomorrow's initial report on growth in U.S. GDP for the second quarter. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com are expecting that GDP growth dipped to 1.8% year over year in the quarter, down from 3.1% in the first quarter. All 11 industry sectors in the S&P 500 closed lower […]

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