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Posts Tagged ‘euro’

Special Report: 10 Best Picks for the Last Six Months of 2019

This isn't  time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in global growth in 2019 and for a U.S. recession in 2020 […]

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Selling Finland ETF out of Volatility Portfolio on U.S.-China knock-on effect

I will sell the iShares MSCI Finland ETF (EFNL) out of my Volatility Portfolio tomorrow. The EuroZone in general and the Finnish economy in particular is heavily dependent on exports and the slowdown in the global economy resulting from the U.S.-China trade war isn't good news for exporters in the region. That comes on top […]

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One consequence of the change in Fed policy likely to be a weaker dollar

A number of Wall Street and big international banks are forecasting a drop in the dollar as a result of the Fed's decision to back off on raising interest rates in 2019. Morgan Stanley, for example, says that the dollar has peaked and has forecast the yen climbing to 102 to the dollar and the […]

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European markets sink into bear today; I’m switching back to yen and selling the euro in my ETF Portfolio

Back on October 3 I switched from the  Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) to the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA) in an effort to get a little more performance out of this slot in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. (This ETF invest in both Japan and Europe.) And for a little while […]

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Notes You Need for November 26: Argentina, Italy budget, Treasury yields, MGM, Federal Reserve minutes, Salesforce, corporate bonds, BMY, AAPL

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don't justify a full post. I've decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I'm calling Notes You Need. I launched this new […]

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One more for the list: ECB starts countdown to euro decision on December 13

On December 13 the European Central Bank will decide whether to cap its $2.9 trillion program of bond buying as planned. The bank had decided that Europe's economy was strong enough for the central bank to wind down its purchases of bonds that have kept interest rates down in the EuroZone and depressed the value […]

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Markets decide they have nothing to fear except Treasury auctions, Italian budget, and U.S.-China trade war

Actually, considering the list of fears today, it's kind of remarkable that the U.S. stock market hasn't fallen farther. (The U.S. bond market is closed for the Columbus Day holiday.) In the EuroZone the confrontation between the Italian government and the European Union over the proposed Italian budget continued. The budget would produce a deficit […]

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Re-buy Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets for my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio

Earlier today I sold the Invesco Currency Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio. Now I'm replacing it with the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA). The sell and the buy will cut the portfolio's exposure to the Japanese yen and increase its exposure to the euro at a time when market […]

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Sell Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen in my Perfect Five ETF Portfolio

As I wrote in the Bonus ETF section of my recent Special Report: 10 Picks for the Emerging Market Bounce I'm selling the Invesco Currency Shares Japanese Yen ETF (FXY) out of my Perfect Five ETF Portfolio. I added this to the portfolio on July 17, 2018 to give me more exposure to the safe […]

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Dollar fundamentals continue to erode

I don't think there's anything more important to financial markets--well, assuming we don't get some kind of completely off-the-wall black swan event--over the next three months or so than the strength or weakness of the dollar. My judgment on trends in the greenback are crucial to my thinking on an emerging markets bounce, on equal […]

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