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Posts Tagged ‘interest rates’

Adding Barrick Gold, #3 in my 10 Picks for the Next 6 Months Special Report, to Jubak Picks

It hasn't taken much--fears of war with Iran, a trade war with China, and signals of at least 50 basis points in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve--but gold has finally broken out of its 5-year trading range. Gold shot higher on June 20, testing the March 2014 high of $1.393 an ounce. Gold […]

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Federal Reserve rhetoric moves strongly toward interest rate cut

So much for "patient." Today after the meeting of the Open Market Committee on interest rates the Federal Reserve announced that it would leave benchmark interest rates at the current 2.25% to 2.50%. But in its words the Fed delivered what the market hoped for--a clear move toward cutting interest rates at the July 31 […]

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Special Report: 10 Best Picks for the Last Six Months of 2019

This isn't  time for investing as usual. As whacky as the first half of 2019 has been--the Federal Reserve embraces interest rate cuts, the U.S. and China descend further into a trade war, the U.S. economy turns in better than 3% growth but fears for a slowdown in global growth in 2019 and for a U.S. recession in 2020 […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback says (on a Sunday), For the week ahead expect…

... all attention to be on what the Federal Reserve says on Wednesday, June 19, after the meeting of its rate-setting Open Market Committee. Nobody on Wall Street expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at the June meeting--expectations are high for a July 31 reduction of 25 basis points however. (Odds of a […]

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Trick or trend: 2, maybe 3, real trends in a market of noise

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. I think there are only two, maybe three real trends in the current market. The […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…

...deafening quiet from the Federal Reserve. With the Federal Reserve scheduled to meet on June 18 and June 19, the Fed has entered its traditional pre-meeting quiet period as of today, June 8. The Fed's schedule shows not a single speech or event scheduled until after the meeting. That means the market is on its […]

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May jobs disappoint, but stocks climb on interest rate cut hopes

The U.S. economy added just 75,000 jobs in May. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had expected the addition of 175,000 jobs. Statisticians at the Labor Department also revised April job gains down to 224,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.6%, a 49-year low. (The full U6 unemployment rate, which counts discouraged workers who have stopped […]

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Stocks gallup higher as Fed chair affirms Powell Put

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said today that the Fed will do whatever it takes to keep the U.S.economy chugging higher--including a near-term cut in interest rates if needed to offset the negative effects of President Donald Trump's trade and tariff wars. I see this as a very strong affirmation of the Powell Put, the […]

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Bond traders test the Powell Put today

U.S. stocks dropped again today with the Standard & Poor's 500 index closed down another 0.69% to 2783.03. U.S. Treasury bonds rallied with the price of the 10-yer bond up enough to push the yield down to 2.21% for a drop in yield of 26 basis points in the last month. That was enough to […]

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Federal Reserve minutes say, No interest rate move “for some time”

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's April 30-May 1 meeting showed officials at the U.S. central bank inclined toward patience and to keeping the current wait-and-see policy in place "for some time." Adding to the dovish tone of the minutes, many Fed members agreed with Fed chair Jerome Powell's view that the recent dip in inflation […]

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