Daily JAM
October 19, 2021 | Daily JAM, Volatility |
Investors and traders are showing no interest in paying to hedge risk in this market–even though we’re again near the all-time high for the Standard & Poor’s 500. Today, as of 3 p.m. New York time the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has dropped another 3.31% to 15.77. That puts the index back in my buying range and today I’m adding the December 22 VIX Call Option with a strike price of $18 (VIX211222C00018000) to my Volatility Portfolio.
October 19, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today, October 19, Procter & Gamble (PG) reported fiscal year first quarter earnings of $1.61 against Wall Street projections of $1.59. (That’s down 1% from the first quarter of the prior fiscal year.) Sales grew to $20.34 billion versus Wall Street expectations of $19.89 billion. Organic revenue growth was 4% against Wall Street expectations for 2.1%. So as the close today of the stock is down 1.18%. And the results today are seen as disappointing. To figure out why, look beyond those top of the report numbers to the squeeze on margins from higher raw materials costs and from rising expenses for shipping.
October 19, 2021 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My sixtieth YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Hidden Inflation”” went up today.
October 18, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports |
Yes, we want to buy on the dip. Whenever we get a significant dip. (And significant to me is 5% or more in the major indexes–and 10% or more in specific sectors.) But, we need new strategies for buying on the dip that take into account the market’s valuation problem, the central bank tightening that looks to be in the cards, and the real possibility of a dip in growth below forecasts in 2022. I’ve got three strategies to suggest for buying in this market on these dips. And 10 picks to use to execute those strategies.
October 18, 2021 | Daily JAM, DNNGY, Jubak Picks |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My fifty-ninth YouTube video “QuickPick: Orsted” went up today
October 18, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing |
China’s economy grew more slowly than expected in the third quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 4.9% in the July-September quarter from a year earlier, the national statistics bureau said today, October 18. That’s a big drop from the 7.9% year over year growth in April-June. Economists had projected growth of 5.2% for the quarter.
October 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
As we contemplate the extraordinarily strong earnings from Wall Street’s big banks last week, it’s important to remember that Wall Street isn’t Main Street.
October 16, 2021 | AAPL, Daily JAM |
I expect a big tech sector reaction to Apple’s (AAPL) new product event on Monday. This is Apple’s second product event, following on the earlier iPhone 13 presentation. With chip stocks in particular and tech stocks in general–including Apple–looking for a direction–up or down–this event will shape sentiment on the sector–at least for a few days.
October 15, 2021 | Daily JAM |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My fifty-eighth YouTube video “3 Picks for Iffy Growth” went up today.
October 15, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
U.S. retail sales rose by 0.7% in September. That follows an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in August, the Commerce Department reported today. The biggest surprise came in autos. Motor vehicle and parts dealer sales rose 0.5% in September after a 3.3% decline in August. Excluding autos, retail sales advanced 0.8% in September. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg were looking for a 0.2% decline in overall sales and a 0.5% rise excluding autos.
October 14, 2021 | AMAT, ASML, Daily JAM, Top 50 Stocks, TSM |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the dominant independent chip manufacturer in the world, reported earnings today, October 14, of $1.08 per share for the September quarter. Wall Street analysts hd expected earnings of $1.04 a share. The stock closed up 2.35% today on the news.
October 14, 2021 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
You can see yesterday’s stock rally and its continuation today as a return of the Goldilocks market. Yesterday, for example, inflation, if you look just at core inflation–that is without food and energy prices–looked strong enough to make the Federal Reserve very cautious about removing monetary stimulus from the economy, but core inflation wasn’t so strong that it sent up warning flares. And today, the drop in initial claims for unemployment to 293,000 (for the week ended October 9) for a new Pandemic low argues that the economy continues to improve but that the economy in general and the job market in particular are neither too hot nor too cold In other words a Goldilocks scenario.
