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Counter-counter-attack from Viking Therapeutics in the GLP-1 diabetes/weight loss drug war

Counter-counter-attack from Viking Therapeutics in the GLP-1 diabetes/weight loss drug war

First, it was Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) on the attack with trial results that shows its GLP-1 dibetes/weight loss drug out performing current leader of the pack drugs fro Novo Nordisk (NVO) and Eli Lilly (LLY). On the news Viking soared.

Then Novo Nordisk struct back with data of its own showing progress on an oral formulation of its rugs. (All existing GLP-1 drugs are delivered by injection.) That cratered Viking Shares. Now, March 26, Viking has released new Phase 1 trial data from a multiple ascending dose study of the oral version of VK2735, a dual agonist of the glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) receptors.

Another (yep, another) reason to buy Novo Nordisk today

Another (yep, another) reason to buy Novo Nordisk today

Yes, I know this is my third post (plus video) on diabetes/weight-loss drug leader Novo Nordisk (NVO) in three weeks. But the company keeps pumping out research updates that keep powering the stock higher. Think of this as a momentum stock where the momentum comes from the R&D pipeline and not moves in the share price. (The last post was https://jubakam.com/another-reason-t…-success-for-glp/) Today, the company reported early results for a next-generation oral weight loss drug called amycretin, showing a 13.1% weight loss after 12 weeks. That’s a bigger weight-loss than either Novo Nordisk’s own Wegovy or Eli Lilly’s (LLY) competing drug Zepbound. Shares of Novo Nordisk were up 8.9% today to $135.85. I added them to my Jubak’s Picks Portfolio on February 20. The position is up 11.91% since then.

Another reason to buy Novo Nordisk: Kidney trial success for GLP

Another reason to buy Novo Nordisk: Kidney trial success for GLP

Back on February 20, I posted a video recommending a buy of Novo Nordisk (NVO). In the video, “Buy GLP-1,” I said that the stock, along with Eli Lilly (LLY) was riding the momentum of increased sales of GLP-1 drugs, originally developed to treat diabetes, as weight-loss drugs. Buy, I said, despite the huge run-up in the shares, because new trials and analysis of existing data were pointing to expanded uses for the drugs. Today, Novo Nordic announced exactly the kind of news that I had talked about.

Another reason to buy Novo Nordisk: Kidney trial success for GLP

Need more GLP? Buying Viking Therapeutics on trial results

Yesterday, February 28, development-stage biotech Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) announced results from a Phase 2 training of its GLP-1 weight-loss drug candidate that that showed the potential for the VK2735 compound two move to be best in class in the $36.5 billion (revenue) market for GLP diabetes-control and weight-loss drugs. I will add Viking Therapeutic to my Volatility Portfolio and to my Jubak’s Picks Portfolio today, February 29, with a target price of $150.

The big pay off for Eli Lilly is still ahead

The big pay off for Eli Lilly is still ahead

On Wednesday the Food and Drug Administration approved Mounjaro from Lilly, as an obesity drug, after clinical trials showed that patients lost an average of 18% of their body weight. The drug will be marketed as Zepbound in the obesity market. This puts Lilly into direct competition with the wildly popular Wegovy weight-loss drug from Novo Nordisk (NVO)

Please WatchMy New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Eli Lilly

Please WatchMy New YouTube Video: Quick Pick Eli Lilly

This week’s Quick Pick is Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY). The worldwide explosion in diabetes has increased the demand for medicine to prevent the illness from advancing from Type 2 to Type 1 diabetes. In developing these drugs, it’s become clear these Type 2 diabetes prescriptions have also excellent potential for weight loss. Novo Nordisk’s semaglutide drug, the market leader,  has been FDA approved for both uses and is marketed as Ozempic for diabetes and Wegovy for weight loss. Eli Lilly’s competitor drug, Mounjaro, is already approved by the FDA for Type 2 diabetes. That drug is likely to be approved for weight loss as well and looks like it may work even better than Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy. illy’s second diabetes drug, Retatrutide, is still in the pipeline and just reported Phase clinical results showed a 24% loss of body weight after 11 months. Th drug  still has to go into Phase III trials but it is likely to be approved. Lilly’s stock has a 1% yield and is trading at a trailing 12 month PE of 72, so this stock is not cheap. I’ve had this stock in my Jubak Picks portfolio since November 20, 2022 and it’s up about 34% since then, but I believe we can expect another 20% to the upside with the approval of their drugs in the pipeline. The relatively low risk with a likely 20% return makes this a very attractive stock to me.

Another reason to buy Novo Nordisk: Kidney trial success for GLP

Yesterday’s pick Eli Lilly pops today on Biogen’s good news on Alzheimer trial

Shares of Eli Lilly (LLY), a pick for my Jubak Pick’s Portfolio in a post yesterday, are up 8.89% today as of noon New York time, September 28, on news that an experimental Alzheimer’s drug from Biogen (BIIB) and Japan’s Eisai(ESALY) slowed cognitive and functional decline by 27 percent in a clinical trial. Today shares of Biogen are up 38.07% and shares of Eisai are up 62.6% on the news. Why the pop in Lilly? As I explained in my post yesterday, Lilly has its own Alzheimer’s drug in development and positive results out of Biogen/Eisai are thought to be a positive for that drug too.