January 24, 2023 | Jubak Picks, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks |
After the market close today, Microsoft (MSFT) announced earnings of $2.32 a share, just beating Wall Street forecasts of $2.30 a share. That was a 6.5% drop from the December 2021 quarter, however. Revenue missed expectations at $52.7 billion versus a forecasted $52.9 billion. But the big news was that revenues for Azure, the company’s key cloud computing software unit, rose just 31% year over year in the quarter. That badly trailed Wall Street forecasts that called for 36.8% year-over-year growth in the December quarter.
December 26, 2022 | Daily JAM |
Today I posted my two-hundred-and-twenty-first YouTube video; Trend of the Week Oil is Back for 2023. This week’s Trend of the Week: Oil is Back for 2023. We’re looking at a great set-up for oil going forward into 2023. Oil performed well in 2022, so it’s going into 2023 with strong recommendations from Wall Street strategists to “Keep it up.” We also may be hitting “peak oil” in Saudi Arabia, (like we talked about—for those who are old enough to remember- back in the 80s.) So Saudi Arabia and Russia, two big players in the commodity, are both constrained on oil production capacity. Additionally, we’re seeing a shift in the United States to becoming a net oil exporter. Oil has sold off, as United States Oil Fund (USO) shows, with the price n December 26 at $69.32. But it now looks to be in recovery and this looks like a good entry point. There is some resistance with the 50-day moving average at $69.64, but I don’t think it’ll be a problem to get back up to the November peak of 76. So what do you buy? USO gives you an overall market exposure in oil, but if you’re looking at an oil producer for more leverage, look to someone with a lot of oil exposure in the oil shales in the US, like ConocoPhilips (COP).
April 29, 2022 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, JJA, JO, Volatility |
There were very few places to hide in this week’s stock market decline. A number of the old reliable places to hide aren’t providing much protection in the current stock market drop. But I did see two splashes of green today among the sea of red.
March 4, 2022 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
July 4, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
... a lot of data on commodities. You're excused if commodity prices haven't been on the top of mind lately. There have been a few other things to think about. So maybe you've missed some of the big moves in the sector. Copper, for example, has been up for seven...
April 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
No big moves. No major disruptions. No threats of meltdowns. Today has been a welcome breather, a bit of stability, for  market that's had more than its share of excitement this week. So far. It's only 1:30 p.m. in New York. And we could see selling or buying before...
April 15, 2020 | Daily JAM, PANW |
Yesterday in my post "What do you do when the market is insane and you're not?" I argued that one of the dangers in a very volatile market with strong--and temporarily profitable--short-term trends is that we'll give in to the pressure to do something--and do...
February 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
This morning it looked like U.S. stocks would bounce from the drop of Monday and Tuesday--about 6% on the Standard & Poor's 500. As of 10:51 a.m. New York time the index was up 1.64% to 3182.08. But that has turned out to be the high of the day. By 12:18 p.m. the...
February 6, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Two Chinese companies have invoked force majeure clauses in their contracts to refuse delivery of cargoes of liquified natural gas and copper. Chinese buyers have also asked Chilean miners to postpone shipments and China's biggest oil refiner Sinopec Group is likely...
September 26, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
No big bad news story from China this morning, but the news trend continues to emphasize the downside. For example, this morning a U.S. official said the U.S. is unlikely to extend a waiver allowing American firms to supply China’s Huawei Technologies with technology...
August 7, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Shares of Apple (AAPL) climbed 0.21% to lead the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) higher by 0.40% as of 2 p.m. trading in New York. That helped disguise what is otherwise a return to the risk off trading of Monday after Tuesday's rally--although with smaller...
June 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
... nervousness. With the Federal Reserve locked in, seemingly, on an interest rate cut in July, and then strongly inclined to cut rates again in September, no one really wants to step out of this market. We're talking major stimulus for the economy and a major boost...
