So where do bio go for safety and profits after Powell’s speech: First take is farm commodities

So where do bio go for safety and profits after Powell’s speech: First take is farm commodities

Pretty much everything got clobbered today after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell promised that the Fed would raise interest rates and keep them high until inflation is under control. In other words, no quick turn to cutting interest rates in the second half of 2023. So chip stocks were down today, August 26, with Nvidia (NVDA) plunging 9.23% at the close. Consumer stocks were down with Shake Shack (SHAK) tumbling 8.61%. Financial technology stocks were down with Block (SQ) shedding 7.72%. Climate change stocks, an extremely hot sector lately, were down with EVgo (EVGO) bleeding 7.86%. Hide in gold? No way. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) was down 1.22%. (Better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick, I suppose.) But agricultural commodity ETFs? Green in a sea of red.

Trick or Trend: Strong dollar continues to  beat  up on gold

Trick or Trend: Strong dollar continues to beat up on gold

Gold fell below $1800 an ounce this week to close at $1742 per ounce for August delivery on the Comex in New York. And frankly, I don’t see gold turning around until 1) we get a signal from the Federal Reserve that the biggest interest rate increases are behind us, or 2) we get a big, bigger, biggest fear-inducing event that sends everybody scurrying to their hedges. Until then, I think a stronger dollar will continue to pressure gold (and silver) lower.

Bonus Special Report: Where to Park Your Cash

Bonus Special Report: Where to Park Your Cash

The advice is sound, very sound. Move part (at least of your portfolio to cash and sit out the worst of this bear market on the sidelines. And since you have that cash in hand, you’ll be ready to snap up bargains when the market has put in a bottom (or near the bottom, or on the way up from the bottom…or something.) But right now that’s easier said than done.

Trick or Trend: Strong dollar continues to  beat  up on gold

Gold draws near even for the year, approaches resistance

Gold closed up today, May 24, by 0.27% to $1884.00 an ounce for August delivery on the COMEX. That took the metal to its highest price since its January 5 high for 2021 at $1954. The rally in gold from a March 8 low at $1678 an ounce, has not only brought gold near breakeven for 2021, but is pressing against resistance near $1900 an ounce. Gold has posted three straight weekly gains. No secret what’s been driving gold higher: fears of rising inflation.

Wheaton Precious Metals hikes dividend by 30%

Wheaton Precious Metals hikes dividend by 30%

Before you get too excited by that headline, note that a 30% hike in the dividend at Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) will bring the payout to just 13 cents for the first quarter of 2021. But that’s still, as my grandmother used to say, better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. At the least it’s a vote of confidence by the company’s board of directors that they see strong revenue and earnings growth in the year ahead. Wheaton Precious Metals doesn’t actually do any mining itself. Instead it purchases a stream of production from miners of precious metals and cobalt.

A wild day for stock gains–although you wouldn’t know it from the indexes

A wild day for stock gains–although you wouldn’t know it from the indexes

At the close today the Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.19%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended dead even. The NASDAQ Composite “soared” 0.07%. It wasn’t until you looked at the Russell 2000 small cap index that you saw any signs of what a wild day it was. That index, so economically sensitive these days, finished ahead 2.04%. Don’t look to the usual suspects if you’re seeking big winners today.

COPX Pick #8 for my new Millennial Portfolio (for investors who have more time than money)

COPX Pick #8 for my new Millennial Portfolio (for investors who have more time than money)

In today’s YouTube Video “Avoiding Di-Worsification in 2021 in argued that the trend toward high yields on long-dated Treasuries–and thus lower prices for those bonds–should prompt investors to look beyond bonds and gold in their efforts to build diversified portfolios. I’m adding a copper miners ETF to my Millennial Portfolio tomorrow as a replacement for gold and to profit from the increased copper demand resulting from larger numbers of electric cars on the road over the next decade