NVDA

Nvidia’s next earnings report shaping up as very, ahem, “interesting”

Nvidia’s next earnings report shaping up as very, ahem, “interesting”

Nvidia (NVDA) doesn’t report earnings until May 22. But the report is already shaping up as critical for the stock. Analysts see the company reporting earnings of $5.13 a share for the quarter, up from just 88 cents a share in the same quarter of 2023.
But the short-term earnings numbers aren’t what’s most importance right now. Nvidia has roughly 90% share in the market for AI-accelator chips. That’s put a big target on the company’s back. No one expects Nvidia is maintain that 90% share–which is okay since the market is growing so fast. Last month, analysts at Bank of America said the market could reach anywhere between $250 billion and $500 billion over the next three to five years. That was a big jump from their earlier estimate of less than $250 billion. The question is How fast all the efforts to compete with Nvidia will eat into that market share.

Watch My New YouTube Video: Hot Button Moves NOW–AI Woodstock

Watch My New YouTube Video: Hot Button Moves NOW–AI Woodstock

Today’s Hot Button Moves NOW video is AI Woodstock. Nvidia’s big AI update on March 18 has been dubbed “AI Woodstock” by Bank of America. Nvidia will update its pipeline and prospects for new projects and report on where it sees the AI market going. It will likely create volatility throughout the AI sector as investors try to get out ahead of the company’s projections. Tuesday, Bank of America raised its target price for Nvidia from $925 to $1100 and upped its estimate of the size of the AI accelerator market from under $250 billion to $250-500 billion in 3-5 years. This wide gap in both market size and time makes me a little nervous, but for now we can focus on the next few days. Nvidia will be discussing its new B1000 and N100 chips, ethernet switches, and AI at the Edge for PCs and smartphones. Keep an eye on stocks like Broadcom (AVGO), Qualcomm (QCOM) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) for reaction to this news. The volatility in the reaction could open up a good place to get in on these AI stocks.

Nvidia lifts most but not all tech boats

Nvidia lifts most but not all tech boats

Yesterday, Thursday, February 22, Nvidia (NVDA) gained 16.40% at the close after beating Wall Street expectations on earnings and revenue after the market close on Wednesday. And then raising guidance for the rest of 2024. But what most interested me on Thursday were what tech stocks Nvidia carried higher with it–and which stocks it didn’t.

Nvidia’s next earnings report shaping up as very, ahem, “interesting”

Get ready for the Nvidia circus

Can you hear the barkers yelling to the crowd? It’s Wall Street analysts rushing to raise their target prices for Nvidia (NVDA) ahead of next week’s quarterly earnings report. On February 21, after the close, Nvidia is expected to report earnings of $4.18 share, up from $0.65 a share in the quarter a year ago, on revenue of $20.5 billion. And even though the stock is up 47% for 2024 as of the February 15 close and up 219% for the last year, Wall Street analysts are rushing to increase their target price on the shares.

Nvidia lifts most but not all tech boats

Here’s the 3-year road map for AI hardware–and a buy on AMD

It’s important to remember exactly how young artificial intelligence is as a market product. I certainly don’t think it’s possible to project the long-term winners on either the software or hardware side. Remember the days when Apple (AAPL) thought it was worth buying a Super Bowl add to urge consumers to smash the IBM PC empire? But I do think the hardware road map is petty clear for the next two to three years. Which is why I’m adding shares of Advanced Micro Devices to my portfolios tomorrow.

This looks like some profit taking among tech stock winners

This looks like some profit taking among tech stock winners

Hedge funds are unwinding some of their overweight positions in technology stocks after their concentration in the sector reached record levels, according to Goldman Sachs. Net selling in tech, media and telecom stocks last week was the most since July, Goldman Sachs wrote in a note today. Information Technology (XLK) and Communication Services (XLC) were the most net sold sectors, Goldman said. And, among subsectors, sales of software stocks, chips and chip equipment and interactive media and services “were by far the most net sold.” The outweighed buying in IT services and media.”

Nvidia, last of Magnificent 7 reports: These stocks are driving the market

Nvidia, last of Magnificent 7 reports: These stocks are driving the market

On Monday Nvidia (NVDA) hit an all-time high. For 2023 through November 17, Nvidia and the other 6 stocks in the Magnificent Seven–Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Tesla (TSLA)–have gained more than 70%. The other 493 stocks in the Standard & Poor’ 500 are up 6% for that same period.