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Posts Tagged ‘VIX’

Negative economic numbers from both China and United States this morning

I'd give the edge to China in the "Whose news is worse?" sweepstakes this morning. For April China's retail sales rose 7.2% year over year--good news except that economists were projecting an 8.6% increase and that March showed 8.7% year over year growth. The April year over year retail sales growth was the lowest in […]

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What the market fears is what it doesn’t know about the U.S.-China trade wars

The Standard & Poor's 500 fell another 1.65% to 2,884.05 today on fears that there would be no agreement this week out of the U.S.-China trade talks and that President Donald Trump's threats to raise tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese exports to the United States to 25% from 10%--and to impose those new tariffs […]

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How serious is this morning’s stock sell off?

Here's what's disconcerting about this morning's stock market drop. First, while we do know what caused the selloff--President Donald Trump's Sunday tweet threatening China with higher tariffs on even more exports unless it agreed to a trade deal in the next few days--we really don't know what real world events will follow on those tweets. […]

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Now it’s the European Union on the trade war front lines

Just in case you were worried that global trade wars were in any danger of calming down, today you can relax. Trade hostilities with the European Union are heating up. On Monday the Trump administration said it would impose tariffs on $11 billion in imports from the European Union because of what the White House […]

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Unsettling market risk potential for Thursday and Friday

Today, Wednesday April 3, action in the three legs that support stocks near the highs for 2019 pointed toward significant risk for Thursday and Friday. The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed the day up 0.21% at 2873. Leg 1 for the market: The financials, the biggest sector (or the second biggest depending on what's […]

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Trick or Trend: If there’s a lack of liquidity, what does that mean for financial markets?

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. An "interesting" piece by Robin Wigglesworth in the Financial Times this weekend. He reports on continued worry […]

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Durables orders good for stocks and economy

Orders for durable goods rose 0.4% in January, the Census Bureau reported this morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had projected a 0.6% decrease. Ex-transportation new orders, which means excluding volatile aircraft orders (for January remember and therefore this doesn't include the effects of the recent Boeing 737 Max crash), fell 0.1% against projections for a […]

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Want to hedge stocks? Step #1 buy bonds! Step #2?

Investors and traders looking to hedge against the risk that U.S. stocks will take a tumble (or worse) are rushing to buy bonds. Let week another $490 million flowed in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.) That brought the inflow for 2019 to date as of February 8 to a record $2.3 billion. […]

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Adding VIX $23 Calls to my Volatility Portfolio today

Over the weekend in my Trick or Trend post I noted that S&P 500 volatility was experiencing a very unusual inversion--where the markets were projecting more risk in the next week than for longer periods like a month or two. And, I posited, that inversion wasn't accurately priced into the Call options on the CBOE […]

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Trick or Trend: Now there’s a volatility inversion to worry about

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've probably paid some attention to warnings that an inversion in the Treasury yield curve […]

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