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Posts Tagged ‘Treasuries’

The Fed speaks and speaks and speaks this week: Will all the words push Congress on more spending for coronavirus rescue?

Due to a quirk in the Federal Reserve calendar, the central bank doesn't meet in May. (Next meeting June 10; last meeting April 29.) That means the Fed has lots of time to jawbone the financial markets and Congress in an effort to get Washington to provide more fiscal stimulus to the economy. It all […]

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Treasury to borrow $3 trillion during April to June quarter

Okay, the Treasury actually will need to borrow only $2.99 trillion, but close enough, no? It will still be a record. The previous record for borrowing in a single quarter was $530 billion in the July to September 2008 quarter in the fallout from the global financial crisis. Last year Treasury borrowed "just" $1.28 trillion […]

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Let’s hear it for stability–thank goodness, so far today is dull on the U.S. market

No big moves. No major disruptions. No threats of meltdowns. Today has been a welcome breather, a bit of stability, for  market that's had more than its share of excitement this week. So far. It's only 1:30 p.m. in New York. And we could see selling or buying before the weekend. And stability today could […]

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5 smart, short-term moves while we wait for longer-term trends to resolve

Yesterday in my post "What do you do when the market is insane and you're not?" I argued that one of the dangers in a very volatile market with strong--and temporarily profitable--short-term trends is that we'll give in to the pressure to do something--and do something that will cost us money since we'll be late […]

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Market rallies big this morning on lower new infection rates in Italy, Spain

A rally in European stocks that took the  STOXX 600 index up 3% in morning trading has extended to New York. At noon New York Time today, the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 5.65% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 5.66%. The NASDAQ Composite had gained 5.47% and the Russell 2000 had […]

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Sellers batten down the hatches today ahead of tomorrow’s report on new claims for unemployment

Not much mystery to today's selling. Investors and traders were trimming positions--or more--ahead of tomorrow's report on initial claims for unemployment. Last week brought a record 3.28 million new claims for unemployment as the coronavirus and "shelter in place" orders knee-capped the U.S. economy. State officials said last week that the totals would have been […]

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S&P 500 drops 15% for the week

Let me emphasize that "for the week." The storm of bad news continued today with the European Union saying that the 2020 recession in that bloc may be as bad as 2009. Goldman Sachs warned that the U.S. economy may shrink 24% year over year in the second quarter. Oil fell again with government announcements […]

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Special Report: Everything you need to know about a bear market–Part 1 What kind of bear is this? Part 2 The Strange Case of Asset Allocations in an Extreme Bear Market

The definition of a bear market is rather simple: It's a drop of 20% or more from the market high. By this standard we've recently moved into a bear market on all the major U.S. stock indexes--and indeed on all the major overseas indexes with the exception, for the moment, of the Shanghai market. The […]

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Stocks fall again as WHO declares coronavirus pandemic, White House fails to deliver stimulus plan–no place to hide outside of Treasuries and the yen

As of 1:45 p.m. in New York the Standard & Poor's 500 is down 4.62% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is off 5.13%. The NASDAQ Composite is lower by 4.40% and the Russell 2000 small cap index, with its heavy load of smaller U.S. oil producers, has lost 5.23%. Speaking of oil, U.S. benchmark […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

...the stock market to hang on conditions in the credit markets--and not in a good way. While, normally (historical archives do indeed confirm that there once were normal times), falling bond yields push stock valuations higher (lower yields make stock more attractive in theory) , right now falling Treasury yields signal fear in many corners […]

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