November 15th, 2019, 4:26 PM
The White House rolled out another round of its ongoing soap opera "As the Deal Turns." starring, this week Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow (again.) The stock market yawned. “If you look at whenever they say ‘trade war is on, trade tariffs are off,’--if you look at that maneuver, […]
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November 5th, 2019, 4:24 PM
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury climbed another 10 basis points today to 1.85%. The yield is now up 32 basis points in the last month, although it is still down 135 basis points in a year. That leaves the yield on the 10-year Treasury 40 basis points above its low for 2019. (It […]
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November 1st, 2019, 4:40 PM
How dry is the current low yield desert Awfully dry. And likely to get drier. Which raises this question: How can income investors find higher returns? Providing three answers to that is the subject of this special report. Let's start with the dryness of the desert. The yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury is currently […]
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October 16th, 2019, 3:13 PM
It would be an overstatement, in my opinion, to say the market is trendless. I think there's a definite and but unspectacular bias to the upside in the short-term--four weeks, say. It would be accurate, however, to say, there's not much conviction to that trend. So the market gives back some upside gains whenever there's […]
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October 14th, 2019, 2:33 PM
China now says it wants to hold more talks this month to hammer out the details of the U.S.-China mini-deal announced by President Donald Trump on Friday before Chinese President Xi Jinping will sign it, both Bloomberg and the Washington Post are reporting today. China said it may send a delegation led by Vice Premier Liu […]
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October 8th, 2019, 4:52 PM
It quacks like quantitative easing. It walks like quantitative easing. But it's not quantitative easing. According to Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell anyway. In a speech today, October 8, to the National Association for Business Economics, Powell said the Fed will resume purchases of Treasury securities in an effort to avoid a repeat of recent […]
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October 8th, 2019, 4:42 PM
Today the Trump administration put eight of China's technology giants on a blacklist over alleged human rights violations against Muslim minorities. And China signaled that it would retaliate over the blacklist. Foreign ministry spokesman Geng Shuang told reporters “Stay tuned.” The companies on the blacklist include two video surveillance companies-- Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology and Zhejiang Dahua […]
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October 4th, 2019, 4:52 PM
Yes, U.S. stocks were up today with the S&P 500 closing higher by 1.10% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 1.11%. But that still left the stock market down for the week. And looking at the performance today of risk havens, today's move looks to be a bounce after a really negative week created […]
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October 3rd, 2019, 6:44 PM
The trend in U.S. financial markets this week has pointed down on data that shows the U.S. economy is slowing. Certainly the disappointing numbers in both the manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers Indexes have supported that conclusion. That could all change with the release of the September jobs numbers tomorrow, Friday, October 3. Or maybe […]
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October 3rd, 2019, 3:26 PM
The Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers Index for Services fell to 52.6 for September, according to reports this morning, October 3. That was a drop from August's 56.4 and below the 55.0 that economists surveyed by Bloomberg had projected. That left the index still solidly in expansion territory but with suggestions of a slower […]
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