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Posts Tagged ‘inflation’

Gold in ETFs nears record; what’s next for the yellow metal?

Gold held by ETFs (exchange-traded funds) hit the highest level in seven years on Tuesday as investors and traders piled into the traditional hedge against uncertainty and stock market volatility. Worldwide gold holdings in ETFs rose to 2,561.2 tons as of Tuesday, the highest level since January 2013, according to Bloomberg. Gold holdings at ETFs peaked […]

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There’s no inflation, the Federal Reserve says. You feel that’s wrong–and know what? You’re actually right

Two days after the last Federal Reserve meeting on December 11--where they told us again that inflation continues to fall below the Fed's 2% threshold and that, therefore, there's no inflation to worry about--I walked into my favorite New York bagel shop, Absolute Bagel, to discover that the bagel bakery had posted new prices: Bagels would […]

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India’s central bank flashes warning sign for all global financial markets

Of course, the Reserve Bank of India didn't mean to issue a warning to all global financial markets. The minutes of the central bank's December 3-5 meeting, released today, focus on the need to hold its benchmark interest rate at 5.15% after delivering 135 basis points of rate cuts so far this year including a […]

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Inflation isn’t exactly dead

Wall Street is counting on the Federal Reserve to stay on the sidelines until September and then resume cutting interest rates. Some big money advisors are even counting on the Fed to cut interest rates again before September. Bloomberg ran an interview this morning with a Wall Street strategist looking for a full percentage point […]

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Is that inflation we see?

The core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, picked up in May by 0.2% from April. That took the annual inflation rate to 1.6%. That was just above the median estimate from economists surveyed by Bloomberg and still way under the Fed's target of 2% inflation. But if you look […]

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Economy added surprisingly strong 263,000 jobs in April; wage gains, labor participation are red flags

The U.S. economy added 263,000 jobs in April. (The March jobs number was revised downward.) The gains for April exceeded all estimates from economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The official unemployment rate fell to 3.6%. In March the Federal Reserve had forecast that unemployment would falll to 3.7% by the end of 2019. There were a […]

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Fed lesson today: Don’t count your interest rate cuts before they hatchet

Stocks, bonds, and President Donald Trump were disappointed today when the Federal Reserve left interest rates alone and said that low inflation could be transitory. There's no reason to either raise or lower interest rates at the moment, Fed chair Jerome Powell said after the Fed meeting today.  Powell told reporters that that the policy stance […]

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Has President Trump talked himself into a box with his Fed criticism?

The Federal Reserve speaks today at 2 p.m. on inflation, interest rates, and the economy. Ahead of our efforts to parse the prose, it's worth taking a minute to think about the likelihood that President Donald Trump's very public criticism of the Fed has molded the Fed's public statement--and in opposition to his preferences. By […]

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More of the same in today’s economic data: low inflation, good growth in consumer spending, but lagging incomes

Put today's numbers on the economy together with those in Friday's first quarter GDP report and the picture that emerges is of a U.S. economy growing at s very solid rate with declining inflation. But where the trends on consumer incomes and spending suggest, maybe, trouble down the road. This morning the Bureau of Economic […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

... to be drowning in economic data. The Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday, May 1, isn't even the high point of the data week. The U.S. central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged so it's Chair Jerome Powell's press conference after the meeting that will draw most of the attention. […]

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