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Posts Tagged ‘volatility’

Trump launches a new era of U.S.-China unpredictability–markets will love this

In a Twitter post today, U.S. President Donald Trump asked, “My only question is, who is our bigger enemy, Jay Powell or Chairman Xi?” It's not really surprising that Trump based the Federal Reserve chair today. Indications are that Trump was disappointed that Powell didn't announce new interest rate cuts in his speech this morning […]

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Low August trading volumes increase volatility, push prices to the upside

August trading volumes are really, really low. On Monday and Tuesday trading in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, a popular vehicle for trading the stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500, averaged 52.6 million shares, about 31% lower than the average volume over the last 30 days according to CNBC. Broader market trading is down […]

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Market struggled to find direction Thursday; I don’t expect much direction ahead of the weekend

Up 0.43% at 10:12 a.m. on Thursday, the Standard & Poor's 500 index was down by 0.28 by 11.:20 am. Then up again by 0.41% by 12:06 p.m. And down again by 0.03% at 3 p.m. The index rallied into the close, getting as high as 2854.38 at 3:53 before closing a 2847.60, a gain […]

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A fine volatility this is–just kind of strange

This post should be song to the tune of "A Fine Romance." (It helps if you can dance like Fred Astaire. Or sing like Ella.) "A fine romance, with no kisses A fine romance, my friend, this is We should be like a couple of hot tomatoes But you're as cold as yesterday's mashed potatoes […]

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Stocks routed on shift in trade war sentiment

You're entitled to feel whiplashed today. Just a few days ago, on May 16, stocks rallied on speculation that trade talks would resume relatively quickly and that the United States and China, rhetoric and tariff increases aside, would find a way within weeks to end their trade war. On May 16 on that optimistic sentiment […]

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Trick or Trend: If there’s a lack of liquidity, what does that mean for financial markets?

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. An "interesting" piece by Robin Wigglesworth in the Financial Times this weekend. He reports on continued worry […]

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Want to hedge stocks? Step #1 buy bonds! Step #2?

Investors and traders looking to hedge against the risk that U.S. stocks will take a tumble (or worse) are rushing to buy bonds. Let week another $490 million flowed in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.) That brought the inflow for 2019 to date as of February 8 to a record $2.3 billion. […]

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Trick or Trend: Now there’s a volatility inversion to worry about

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've probably paid some attention to warnings that an inversion in the Treasury yield curve […]

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They’re back! Fears of a slowdown in growth in 2019, that is

Remember last week? Markets were running over with optimism that growth in the U.S. and global economies continue strong in 2019, that the U.S.-China trade war was headed to a resolution, that earnings growth in reports for the fourth quarter would be above projections. Today, as U.S. markets digest the news after Monday's market holiday, […]

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Why the rally isn’t holding: After yesterday’s 1,000 point gain, today the profits are on the downside

Yesterday, Wednesday December 26, U.S.markets staged a historic rally with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 1,000 points. All of the major U.S. indexes gained better than 4% on the day. Today, Tuesday, December 27, as of noon New York time, the Dow was down 345 points, or 1.51%, to 22,547.92. The low […]

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