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Posts Tagged ‘volatility’

Passive investing strategies look like they raise risk of big but infrequent spikes in volatility

Readers of JubakAM.Com in comments to a number of my posts recently have been kicking around the question of whether the huge increase in passive investing strategies has changed volatility in the stock market. Passive investment strategies such as indexing now make up half of all trading. That's twice the percentage of 10 years ago […]

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Special Report: Your Investing Guide for the Next Six Dangerous Stock Market Months (Complete with 14 picks)

Yikes. Does this market have enough volatility for you? And I think that volatility will only get worse over the next two to six months, I can't remember a market with so much potential to move up or down in big relatively short-term volatility as this one. Just as critical I can see each of […]

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Stocks rally today–but I’d feel better if volume was higher and the same old big techs weren’t leading the day

Today looks like a strong rally but I've got my doubts. At the close the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 1.60%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 1.34%. The technology laden NASDAQ Composite was higher by 2.26%. The NASDAQ 100, dominated by the technology sector's biggest stocks, was up 2.34%. Apple (AAPL) gained […]

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Small move in S&P 500 disguises continued turmoil in big technology shares

Three stocks in the Standard & Poor's 500 were up for every two that were down as the index turned in a day with very little movement--a gain of 0.05% at the close on September 11. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead a bit more at 0.48% That lack of movement in the S&P, […]

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Short-term leveraged options bets still unwinding this morning taking indexes down further

At noon New York time today the Standard & Poor's 500 was down 1.92% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was off 1.63%. The NASDAQ Composite was lower by 2.65%. Despite solid gains in the August jobs report this morning that matched Wall Street expectations. But this is what I'd expect if yesterday's big sell […]

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Trick or Trend: Signs of nerves but nobody wants to leave the party?

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. Something odd going on in the U.S. stock market--beyond the "won't stop" rally that is. […]

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So this is volatility! Don’t beat yourself up if you don’t get each day right

On Wednesday, I felt really stupid. I don't believe in this rally. I still think we're due for the bear to come roaring back. And I think the bottom in this market is still somewhere ahead. But on Wednesday April 29, I felt completely WRONG. The Standard & Poor's 500 closed up 2.6%. Technology stocks […]

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Trick or Trend: China’s coronavirus outbreak is the perfect excuse to sell for investors and traders who were sitting on the fence

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. I'm not going to argue that the scary news about the continued spread of this […]

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A year of great returns (2019) can lead to a year of stupid investing behavior (2020)–will you fall into the trap?

It's obvious when you think about it why a year with great investing returns--like the 33% total return (with dividends) on the Standard & Poor's 500 in 2019--should lead to a year of stupid investing behavior. A year of great returns exerts powerful pressure toward stupid behavior in the follow year. Let me count the […]

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Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…

... the dominos to keep falling from the death of Iran's Major General Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard and mastermind of Iran's military terrorism effort, in a U.S. drone strike. I don't see a quick big retaliatory act by Iran that would seemingly write an end to the repercussions […]

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