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Posts Tagged ‘volatility’

Stocks routed on shift in trade war sentiment

You're entitled to feel whiplashed today. Just a few days ago, on May 16, stocks rallied on speculation that trade talks would resume relatively quickly and that the United States and China, rhetoric and tariff increases aside, would find a way within weeks to end their trade war. On May 16 on that optimistic sentiment […]

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Trick or Trend: If there’s a lack of liquidity, what does that mean for financial markets?

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. An "interesting" piece by Robin Wigglesworth in the Financial Times this weekend. He reports on continued worry […]

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Want to hedge stocks? Step #1 buy bonds! Step #2?

Investors and traders looking to hedge against the risk that U.S. stocks will take a tumble (or worse) are rushing to buy bonds. Let week another $490 million flowed in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.) That brought the inflow for 2019 to date as of February 8 to a record $2.3 billion. […]

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Trick or Trend: Now there’s a volatility inversion to worry about

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. You've probably paid some attention to warnings that an inversion in the Treasury yield curve […]

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They’re back! Fears of a slowdown in growth in 2019, that is

Remember last week? Markets were running over with optimism that growth in the U.S. and global economies continue strong in 2019, that the U.S.-China trade war was headed to a resolution, that earnings growth in reports for the fourth quarter would be above projections. Today, as U.S. markets digest the news after Monday's market holiday, […]

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Why the rally isn’t holding: After yesterday’s 1,000 point gain, today the profits are on the downside

Yesterday, Wednesday December 26, U.S.markets staged a historic rally with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining more than 1,000 points. All of the major U.S. indexes gained better than 4% on the day. Today, Tuesday, December 27, as of noon New York time, the Dow was down 345 points, or 1.51%, to 22,547.92. The low […]

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Trick or Trend: Clearly volatility is climbing–

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The volatility is rising. Volatility is up if you use such seat-of-the-pants measures as swings […]

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Good news and bad news on risk today after Trump-Xi “success”

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Today this looks increasingly like a market in sector rotation

The major U.S. indexes opened the day strongly lower on disappointing earnings news and guidance from Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOG) after the market close yesterday. But the markets reversed in the morning going--the low for the day for the Standard & Poor's 500 so far (as of 2:38 p.m. New York time) came at […]

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How low can volatility and the VIX go? And how fast?

Yesterday, October 16, the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) fell 17.28% to 17.62. That's a huge drop from the closing local high of 24.98 on October 11. If the market's very, very positive reaction to Netflix earnings delivered after the close yesterday is any indication, then I think volatility and the VIX will head […]

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