Soft durables orders and lower guidance from Cummins show weaker U.S. economy ahead of third quarter GDP report

The government reported today that durables orders—that’s orders for long-lasting goods such as heavy machinery, truck engines, and airplanes—fell a seasonally adjusted 1.2% in September. That’s after a 3% drop in August. (The August number was a downward adjustment from the initial report of a 2.3% decline in the month.)

Durables disappoint but orders backlog builds so not a big deal–yet

The headline number for durable orders (durable goods are things that last a while such as airplanes, trucks, and production equipment) for September released today showed a big jump to 3.3% growth. But the headline number isn’t as important as the 0.8% drop in durable orders minus transportation. Orders for nondefense capital goods, the stuff that companies buy so they can produce more stuff, fell by 0.6%.