October 9, 2018 | Daily JAM, SGMO, Stock Alerts |
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September 19, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VIX, Volatility |
I almost pulled the trigger and sold my VIX complacency trade today. On September 10 I added the December 19 Put on the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) to my Volatility Portfolio with a strike of 13. The trade was coupled with a buy of the November 21 Call on...
September 18, 2018 | Daily JAM, PXD, Stock Alerts |
It's always important to see who has the leverage--customers or suppliers--when costs start to rise. On the recent agreement between Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), perhaps the dominant oil shale producer in the Permian Basin, and fracking sand producer U.S. Silica...
September 18, 2018 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Mid Term, Volatility |
West Texas Intermediate is up 1.32% to just below $70 a barrel ($69.82 at 3 p.m. New York time) today. International benchmark Brent crude is up 1.2% and is closing in on $80 a barrel ($78.99.) With almost 50 days to go before U.s. sanctions against Iran go into pull...
September 12, 2018 | Daily JAM, FANG, PXD |
It hasn't exactly been a great few months oil shale producers in the Permian Basin. Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), the biggest pure play on Permian oil, closed at $169.97 a share today, August 29, down from $212.31 a share on May 18. That's a decline of...
September 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, SGMO, Stock Alerts |
On Monday September 10, I snuck a buy recommendation for shares of Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO) in just before the 5 p.m. deadline for my daily e-mail update. Here's a full post on the logic for that recommendation. I'd has been a wild ride for shares of biotech...
September 7, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VIX, Volatility |
It's September, the middle month of the most volatile three month period in the investing year (historically on average.) We're in the midst of an emerging market crisis that's being driven by a strong U.S. dollar--and we're looking at the high likelihood of two more...
August 28, 2018 | Daily JAM, INCY |
Shares of Incyte (INCY), a member of my Jubak Picks portfolio, have been marching steadily higher in the last couple of weeks. The stock is 19.6% higher since the $61.75 low on August 6. And it's up another 2.06% today, Tuesday, August 28. But the call options I own...
August 20, 2018 | Daily JAM, NKTR, Stock Alerts |
I'm on vacation through August 26. I'm trying to use this down time to catch up on earnings results that I missed during the very busy second quarter earning season. After the market close on Wednesday, August 8, Nectar Therapeutics (NKTR) reported earnings of $5.33 a...
August 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
When  I sold my options on Equinor (EQNR) out of my Volatility Portfolio back on July 18, the idea was to take some profits (I was looking at a better than 50% gain and the shares were trading at $26.42) and to roll the calls with an October 19, 2018 expiration with a...
July 16, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
The catalysts are out there, as Fox Mulder, might say, but the August 17 call options with a strike of $60 have run out of time. I'm selling today with a 86% loss since I added them on June 6, 2018. Thanks to the huge gains in previous rounds of Nektar options in...
June 14, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, Volatility, WPM |
Yesterday in Part 3 of my Special Report on "Investing in a Late Cycle Market" I made Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) one of my "musical chairs" picks. Please note that I could have argued for buying this stock on its exposure to silver and gold. (Gold and silver will...