September 18, 2018 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Mid Term, Volatility |
West Texas Intermediate is up 1.32% to just below $70 a barrel ($69.82 at 3 p.m. New York time) today. International benchmark Brent crude is up 1.2% and is closing in on $80 a barrel ($78.99.) With almost 50 days to go before U.s. sanctions against Iran go into pull...
September 12, 2018 | Daily JAM, FANG, PXD |
It hasn't exactly been a great few months oil shale producers in the Permian Basin. Shares of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), the biggest pure play on Permian oil, closed at $169.97 a share today, August 29, down from $212.31 a share on May 18. That's a decline of...
September 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, SGMO, Stock Alerts |
On Monday September 10, I snuck a buy recommendation for shares of Sangamo Therapeutics (SGMO) in just before the 5 p.m. deadline for my daily e-mail update. Here's a full post on the logic for that recommendation. I'd has been a wild ride for shares of biotech...
September 7, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VIX, Volatility |
It's September, the middle month of the most volatile three month period in the investing year (historically on average.) We're in the midst of an emerging market crisis that's being driven by a strong U.S. dollar--and we're looking at the high likelihood of two more...
August 28, 2018 | Daily JAM, INCY |
Shares of Incyte (INCY), a member of my Jubak Picks portfolio, have been marching steadily higher in the last couple of weeks. The stock is 19.6% higher since the $61.75 low on August 6. And it's up another 2.06% today, Tuesday, August 28. But the call options I own...
August 20, 2018 | Daily JAM, NKTR, Stock Alerts |
I'm on vacation through August 26. I'm trying to use this down time to catch up on earnings results that I missed during the very busy second quarter earning season. After the market close on Wednesday, August 8, Nectar Therapeutics (NKTR) reported earnings of $5.33 a...
August 10, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
When  I sold my options on Equinor (EQNR) out of my Volatility Portfolio back on July 18, the idea was to take some profits (I was looking at a better than 50% gain and the shares were trading at $26.42) and to roll the calls with an October 19, 2018 expiration with a...
July 16, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
The catalysts are out there, as Fox Mulder, might say, but the August 17 call options with a strike of $60 have run out of time. I'm selling today with a 86% loss since I added them on June 6, 2018. Thanks to the huge gains in previous rounds of Nektar options in...
June 14, 2018 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, Volatility, WPM |
Yesterday in Part 3 of my Special Report on "Investing in a Late Cycle Market" I made Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) one of my "musical chairs" picks. Please note that I could have argued for buying this stock on its exposure to silver and gold. (Gold and silver will...
June 14, 2018 | Daily JAM, NKTR, Stock Alerts |
Frankly, my holdings of shares and options on Nektar Therapeutics (NKTR) are driving me nuts. The stock is just so volatile that I can barely stand it even though I'm comfortable with the long-term trajectory of the company's new non-addictive opioid and its leading...
June 12, 2018 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Mid Term, Special Reports, TS, Volatility |
So let's say you find my argument that we're now in a Late Cycle Market with a credit crisis looming sometime in the next 2 to 3 years. You think you can see a classic Minsky Movement approaching as lenders and investors take on more risk--after all what can go...
June 1, 2018 | Daily JAM, INCY, Stock Alerts |
Today the U.S. Food & Drug Administration did finally approve Baricitinib, now known as Olumiant, for the treatment of moderately-to-severely active rheumatoid arthritis. But the approval carries more restrictions than expected. The FDA approved only the 2...