Notes You Need for October 17: German economic sentiment, Japan rally, SQM and lithium, NAFTA, Fed chair schedule, NFLX

Notes You Need for October 17: German economic sentiment, Japan rally, SQM and lithium, NAFTA, Fed chair schedule, NFLX

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. I launched this new feature on JubakAM.com on December 1. It runs only on JAM and won’t appear anywhere else. Such as these items: “10:20 a.m.: The ZEW survey for October showed economic sentiment iamong German investors climbing to 17.6 from 17.0 points in the previous month. The index, however, still remains below the long-term average of 23.8 points” and “10:40 a.m.: Japan’s Nikkei stock market index recorded its eleventh straight gain today. The market hasn’t had a losing session yet in October.  In that period the Nikkei is up 4.8% on growing conviction that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is headed to a smashing election victory that will assure the continuation of Abe-nomics and a weak yen.”

Any surprises for investors in the Communist Party Congress that starts tomorrow in China?

Any surprises for investors in the Communist Party Congress that starts tomorrow in China?

On the one hand, the results of the 19th Communist Party Congress that begins tomorrow are completely predictable. President Xi Jinping will be elected to a new five-year term and when the dust has cleared from the once-every-five-years turnover of party leaders, he will have tightened his grip on power still further. On the other hand, there’s huge uncertainty over what Xi will do with his power during the next five years.

Notes You Need for October 17: German economic sentiment, Japan rally, SQM and lithium, NAFTA, Fed chair schedule, NFLX

Notes You Need for October 16: Buffalo Latte, GOM oil spill, Goldman Sachs earnings tomorrow, tax bill delay, Trump interviews John Taylor for Fed chair

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. I launched this new feature on JubakAM.com on December 1. It runs only on JAM and won’t appear anywhere else. It includes items such as this: ” 10:40 a.m.: An oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico last week is the largest since the 2010 blowout at BP Macondo well sank the Deepwater Horizon rig. The Delta House floating production facility about 40 miles southeast of Venice, Louisiana, released 7,950 to 9,350 barrels of oil on October 13, according to operator LLOG Exploration.

Oil climbs for a second day on geopolitics–this time it’s Iraq

Oil climbs for a second day on geopolitics–this time it’s Iraq

Today, we’ve got more chaos in oil geopolitics, this time from Iraq where the central government in Baghdad has launched a military operation to seize the oil fields near Kirkuk from forces loyal to the Kurdish regional government. The fields produced 544,000  barrels of oil a day in 2016, about 12% of  Iraq’s total production, and production was projected to rise to 602,000 barrels a day in 2017. The area is projected to hold 45 billion barrels of oil, more than the reserves of Nigeria.

Oil climbs for a second day on geopolitics–this time it’s Iraq

Trick or Trend: Is the “geopolitical calm” over for oil?

Friday’s surge in oil prices on worries about deteriorating relations between the United States and Iran was a reminder of how extraordinary oil geopolitics have been recently: Just about every OPEC country–and most non-OPEC oil producers–have been pumping away without significant disruption. That’s not normal oil geopolitics for the last forty years or more. And I have to wonder how long this calm is going to last.

Unexpected bad news in bank earnings reports

Unexpected bad news in bank earnings reports

What came as a genuine surprise to me–and what has far bigger negative implications for the U.S. economy than any continued slump in trading revenue–was news that Citigroup and JPMorgan, two of the biggest banks in consumer finance (read credit cards) had taken big new hits in their consumer lending businesses. Citigroup, for example, booked $252 million in credit losses. JPMorgan Chase’s credit costs rose by $200 million from last year because of higher charge offs in its credit card business.

Notes You Need for October 17: German economic sentiment, Japan rally, SQM and lithium, NAFTA, Fed chair schedule, NFLX

News You Need for October 12: Obesity, Qualcomm, TSLA, driverless California, natural gas

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. I launched this new feature on JubakAM.com on December 1. For example, “10:40 a.m.: Taiwan’s Fair Trade Commission has fined Qualcomm (QCOM) a record $773 for antitrust violations. The commission says Qualcomm violated antitrust laws for at least seven years and collected about $13.2 billion in local licensing fees during that period. The commission also ordered Qualcomm to revise deals forcing competitors to provide sensitive information including pricing, customer names, and model names.”