Notes You Need for November 14: CO2, German economy, China growth, iPhone X

Notes You Need for November 14: CO2, German economy, China growth, iPhone X

In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don’t justify a full post. I’ve decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I’m calling Notes You Need. Items include posts like this from today: “Japanese investment bank Mizuho reports that its field checks of Apple’s (AAPL) Japanese suppliers show slower-than-anticipated improvements in yields for iPhone X components. In particular the 3D-sensing module remains a bottleneck. Yields have improved on the OLED panels for the phone’s screen. Mizuho lowers its forecast for total aggregate production by about 1% and notes that ASPs (average selling price) could come in below forecast. Mizuho notes that in September quarter ASPs at $618 were below consensus of $638.”

Forecasts of more supply, less demand send oil prices lower again

Forecasts of more supply, less demand send oil prices lower again

This morning the International Energy Agency cut it monthly forecast for crude oil demand by 100,000 barrels a day for 2017 and 2018. U.s. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell 2.77% to $55.17 a barrel. (West Texas Intermediate has been slipping lower since it closed at $57.35 on November 6.) International benchmark Brent crude fell 2.82% to $61.38 a barrel.

Inflation expectations inch upwards in New York Fed survey for October

Inflation expectations inch upwards in New York Fed survey for October

It’s not the actual inflation rate but for the Federal Reserve it’s perhaps even more important: In the latest survey of 1,200 households for October, the New York Fed Reserve Bank sees an increase in expectations for inflation in October 2018 to 2.61%. That’s up from the 2.54% expected increase in inflation over the next 12 months recorded in this survey in September.

Trick or trend: There’s plenty of movement on a tax bill–but is there any progress?

Trick or trend: There’s plenty of movement on a tax bill–but is there any progress?

The House version of the tax cut legislation is headed for a planned vote in the full House of Representatives this week. The Senate Finance Committee is scheduled to begin consideration of its version of a tax cut bill on Monday. Republican leaders in the Senate say they want to hold a vote in the full Senate before Thanksgiving, which falls on November 23 this year. The problem–and it’s just a teeny, tiny one–is that the two bills aren’t compatible.

Trick or trend: There’s plenty of movement on a tax bill–but is there any progress?

U.S. stocks “jittery” today on tax cut uncertainty

Jittery. That’s how I’d characterize action on U.S. stock markets today. As of just before 4 p.m., the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index was off 0.32%. The NASDAQ Composite was lower by 0.56%. And the small cap Russell 2000 was down 0.46%. These aren’t huge declines but they do stand out in contrast to the steady gains the market has piled on in most days recently. The most obvious explanation is worry over the fate of the tax cuts in Congress