Morning Briefing

Today, Friday November 27, smacks of desperation–to catch up with the indexes

Today, Friday November 27, smacks of desperation–to catch up with the indexes

It was a short session today, the Friday after Thanksgiving, on Wall Street but that didn’t stop the Standard & Poor’s 500 and the NASDAQ Composite from setting new all-time records. The S&P 500 closed up 0.24%. The NASDAQ Composite finished ahead by 0.92%. Volume, as you might expect, was relatively light–just 60% of the average daily volume this year. That didn’t prevent some really big moves today. But, by and large, these moves didn’t take place where you might have expected.

Initial claims for unemployment climb again

Initial claims for unemployment climb again

The number of Americans filing initial claims for unemployment in regular state unemployment programs climbed by 30,000 in the week ended November 21, the Labor Department reported today, November 25. For the week initial claims in state programs rose to a seasonally adjusted 778,000. Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected 730,000 new claims for the week. This is the second straight week for an increase in new claims for unemployment and adds to other data showing the U.S. economy is slowing under the impact of a new surge in coronavirus infections and a rising number of restrictions on economic activity as states attempt to slow the spread of the virus.

Dow closes above 30,000 for first time ever

Dow closes above 30,000 for first time ever

Is this as good as it gets? That’s an important question today as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closes up 1.54% to 30,045.84, the first close above 30,000 ever. Other indexes were just as strong. The Standard & Poor’s 500 gained 1.62% by the close. The NASDAQ Composite was up 1.31% and the NASDAQ 100 was ahead 1.46% at the end of the session. The Russell 2000 small cap index ended the day ahead 1.78%. It’s not hard to see why stocks and investors are so ebullient: There’s just so much good news.

Nevada puts new coronavirus restrictions on Las Vegas casinos–but so far MGM Resorts stock gains

Nevada puts new coronavirus restrictions on Las Vegas casinos–but so far MGM Resorts stock gains

Saying on Sunday that the coronavirus surge in Nevada is running at wildfire levels, Governor Steve Sislak announced new restrictions to start on Tuesday and that will run for three weeks. The new rules will require casinos, amusement and theme parks, arcades, bars, and restaurants to reduce their capacity to 25% from the current 50%. What I think is most interesting to investors, though, is the reaction of stocks with Las Vegas exposure to the news.

As the day wore on, markets began to see near-term economic damage from the coronavirus as out weighing mid-term hope from vaccines

As the day wore on, markets began to see near-term economic damage from the coronavirus as out weighing mid-term hope from vaccines

At 1 p.m. today, November 18, the Standard & Poor’s 500 was up 0.05% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was ahead 0.06%. Supporting even these meagre gains was positive news from Pfizer that it had concluded trials of its coronavirus vaccine and would be submitting an application for an Emergency Use Authorization to the U.S. Food & Drug Administration within a few days. By the close of the day’s session, however, news of a continuing rise tide of infections and announcements of more closings around the country had extinguished most of the earlier upward momentum.

Initial claims for unemployment drop–but it’s not enough

November 6: Economy adds 638,000 jobs in October

The U.S. economy added 638,000 jobs in October, a slight drop from September, when the economy added 672,000 jobs.

The job gains were enough to push the official unemployment rate down to 6.9% from 7.9% in September.

The U-6 unemployment rate, which unlike the official rate includes discouraged workers who have stopped looking for work and workers in part-time jobs who would like full-time work fell to 12.1% from September’s 12.8%.

And this month’s drop in the unemployment rate wasn’t driven by workers leaving the workforce.The labor participation rate rose 0.3 percentage points to 61.7%, still a low rate on historical standards.

So why didn’t the market move up and strongly on the news?