Back to normal–and the market gets earnings news to worry about

Back to normal. The United States won’t default. The federal government is open again—including the Panda cam at the National Zoo. And once again earnings count. Which at least for the day isn’t good news for U.S. stocks—at least not for the Dow Jones Industrials. I think we’re seeing three themes that are likely to be major drivers of the U.S. market as we move through the meat of earnings season

Earnings season starts today–all eyes will be on guidance, especially for the financials

Earnings season for the second quarter starts officially today when Alcoa reports. Analyst estimates call for S&P 500 earnings growth of just 1.8% this quarter. Far and away the highest expectations are for the financial sector where earnings are projected to grow by 17%. Take away that performance by financials and earnings growth for the rest of the S&P 500 is projected to drop by 1%.

GE and McDonald’s disappoint on growth–although I like the stocks from here in an uncertain environment

GE and McDonald’s disappoint on growth–although I like the stocks from here in an uncertain environment

I wouldn’t make too much of today’s move to the upside in U.S. markets. It’s not unusual for the Friday of a down week to show a slight bounce. Certainly today’s earnings results from market bellwethers McDonald’s (MCD) and General Electric (GE) won’t relieve market worries about revenue and earnings growth for U.S. companies.