The news from Spain just gets worse and worser

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Financial markets rally on belief that the Federal Reserve will move tomorrow

Financial markets have decided that the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee will do something on Wednesday afternoon. So today the German DAX index finished up 1.8%, the French CAC 40 was up 1.7%, the Spanish IBEX was 2.7% higher, and the Italian FTSE MIB was ahead 3.4%. As of 1:30 New York time the Standard & Poor’s 500 was ahead 1.1%.

Don’t read much into this week’s rally–much/most/all of it is a result of shorts taking their profits before the Greek vote on Sunday

Think of it this way. Right now nobody is long Greece. Nobody has been going long Greece in the last few days. And I think that goes for Spain and Italy and France and Ireland too. But bears that have been short Greece and the other parts (or all) of the EuroZone aren’t piling on more bets on a disastrous Greek vote on Sunday either. Instead their taking profits, which drives up prices of financial assets in the short run

Italian yields surge at auction today as bond buyers say, loudly, that the Spanish bank bailout isn’t enough

Well, at least, European leaders, as they prepare for their end of the month summit, are under no illusion that the proposed bailout for Spain’s banks was enough to hold the crisis at bay. In today’s brutal Italian bond auction yields for one-year government debt hit 3.972%. That’s a six-month high and well above the 2.34% yield at the auction for one-year paper on May 11

A break in the ranks of the leftwing coalition that wants to tear up the bailout deal raises the odds that this Sunday Greece won’t vote to leave the euro

The Greek ban on election polls in the two weeks before the June 17 election means that financial markets have been left in the dark about which party is leading in the Sunday vote that could well determine whether or not Greece leaves the EuroZone. So this morning’s explosive resignation of one of the leading leftwing candidates for parliament is a loud statement echoing in space hungry for news. Is it enough to turn the election against Syriza and keep Greece in the euro?