September 20, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, LICY, TSLA |
It’s time to move on from relief/enthusiasm/grudging acceptance of the $369 billion in the Inflation Reduction Act for programs designed to speed up the transition to clean energy and to de-carbonize the economy. The surprise–and in many quarters–appreciation that the United States is doing anything–and it’s a big anything–about climate change has led to big rallies in the stocks of electric vehicle charging companies and hydrogen-economy pioneers. For example, EVgo (EVGO), obviously, I think< an electric vehicle charging stock is up 48.14% in the last month as of the close on August 17. Plug Power (PLUG), one of those hydrogen economy pioneers, is up 84,15% in the last month as of the August 17 close.But I think it's time to go from the general amazement stage to an examination of what companies--and stocks--are actually going to be winners because of the Inflation Reduction Act. (And I say that not only because some of these early winners have started to show some weakness--profit taking perhaps. But also I would pay attention to these near-term trends. EVgo, for example, fell to $10.74 a share on August 17 from $12.02 on August 16. That's a 10.6% tumble.) The bill as finally passed is a masterpiece of compromises and add-ons that mean that many of the top line dollars won't wind up where recent headlines have suggested. My take?
August 25, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) closed up 2.71% today after hitting an all-time high of $298.17 in intraday trading. The shares closed at $295.68. The gains for Albemarle, and across the lithium sector, came as Goldman Sachs upgraded lithium battery maker Freyr Battery (FREY) on projected higher demand for lithium batteries after the Inflation Reduction Act. Albemarle is a member of my Jubak Picks Portfolio where it is up 200.18% since my August 10, 2018 stock pick. The stock is also a member of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio where it is up 221.67% since February 17, 2017.
June 6, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
My one-hundredth-and-forty-first YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Danger of a Lithium Drought” went up today. My Trend of the Week video looks at the effects of Chile’s 15-year drought on global lithium production and prices. In particular, I look at Chilean-based national producer SQM in comparison with Albemarle (ALB.) Albemarle has more diversified production and I think it is a better bet due to this diversity of supply, but lithium will still be a volatile area for the short term. Albemarle is a member of my Jubak Picks Portfolio (up 162% from August 10, 2018) and my long-term, 50 Stocks Portfolio (up 180% from February 17, 2017.)
May 24, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Lithium producer Albemarle (ALB) has been staging a very important experiment over the last few days. Here’s the question being tested: The overall market is in a serious decline–a bear or almost bear market depending on what index you track–that looks likely to go on for a while. In this environment can any individual stock deliver enough good news to buck the market trend and post gains for more than a day or two? On May 4 Albemarle raised its sales guidance for 2022 when it reported first quarter earnings. And then Monday, May 23, the company raised estimates again to a range of $5.8 billion to $6.2 billion. That was up from a previous estimated range of $5.2 billion to $5.6 billion. In total, the midpoint for the company’s estimate of 2022 revenue 38% higher than it was a month ago. And what happened to the shares?
March 31, 2022 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and seventeenth YouTube video “The Death of the Global Economic Order” went up today. Is it forward to the 16th century? One of the lessons that many countries seem to be drawing from the Russian invasion of Ukraine is that relying on countries that might be hostile or competitive to you for crucial resources (ahem, natural gas) is not a good idea. I think we might see a return to the ideas of a previous economic order that focused on countries controlling the production of supplies they need, and the latest example is President Biden’s use of the Defense Production Act to invest in battery metals and rare earth minerals. I think this will be a boon for companies like Li-Cycle (LICY), a lithium battery recycler which isn’t destined for profit soon, and MP Materials, the U.S.’s only rare earth producer.
November 13, 2021 | Daily JAM, LICY, Millennial |
On Friday, November 12, I made lithium battery recycling company Li-Cycle Holdings my Quick Pick video. On Monday, November 15, I will add it to my Millennial (for those who have more time than money) Portfolio.
November 12, 2021 | Daily JAM, LICY, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My sixty-eighthYouTube video “Quick Pick Li-Cycle Holdings” went up today.
October 13, 2021 | ALB, CRWD, Daily JAM, FQVLF, OKTA |
If you look only at the major indexes, today was a mildly positive day. The Standard & Poor’s 500 closed up 0.30%, although the Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat. The NASDAQ Composite gained 0.73% at the close and the NASDAQ 100 added 0.77%. The small cap Russell 2000 ended ahead 0.34%. But take a look at some of the frankly outlandish gains in the market’s hottest sectors. It’s not difficult to find gains of 5% or more today
September 16, 2021 | Daily JAM, Top 50 Stocks, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My forty-eighth YouTube video “Quick Pick: Albemarle” went up today.
September 24, 2020 | ALB, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, SQM, Top 50 Stocks |
On Wednesday, September 23, shares of Albemarle (ALB) and SQM (SQM), the two dominant lithium producers in the world, fell 11.56% and 11.82%, respectively, on an announcement at Tesla's (TSLA) Battery Day that the electric car maker would start its own lithium mining...
February 4, 2020 | ALB, Daily JAM, SQM, Stock Alerts |
Shares of electric car maker Tesla (TSLA) were up another 21.6% as of 3:15 p.m. New York time to another all-time high. And shares of lithium miners, who produce the stuff that goes into Tesla batteries, rode the draft higher with Albemarle (ALB) picking up 12.27% and...
February 21, 2019 | ALB, Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
After the market close yesterday, Albemarle (ALB) announced fourth quarter 2018 earnings that beat Wall Street earnings estimates of $1.47 by 6 cents a share and reported revenues grew 7.4% year over year to $921.7 million, against the $894.5 million consensus. The...