March 25, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, LULU, Stock Alerts |
Projections schedule a potential Recession for the second half of 2022 or 2023. Fears of that impending trend will begin to be felt in stock prices before that. The sector most likely to feel the effects of any Recession–and thus the sector most likely to first feel the anticipation of that Recession on stock prices–is what Standard & Poor’s calls Consumer Discretionary” stocks. (The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) tracks these stocks for the S&P 500 index.) In my YouTube video yesterday, I flagged three stocks in this sector to sell ahead of any potential Recession–Netflix (NFLX), Starbucks (SBUX), and Lululemon Athletica (LULU). Of these I said I would sell Lululemon first
March 24, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, LULU, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and fourteenth YouTube video “Three Recession Sells” went up today.This week’s video takes a look at what I’m calling consumer discretionary companies and recommends that this kind of company should be your first sell as we head toward a Recession. These are places where consumers looking to save money in future economic downturn might cut back spending. I think Starbucks (SBUX), Lululemon (LULU), and Netflix (NFLX) are all stocks to avoid through the end of the year as we see a recession on the horizon. More coverage of this on my sites as well including 10 stocks to own during a Recession on my subscription JubakAM.com site.
October 20, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Shares of Netflix (NFLX) were down today, closing 2.17% lower, even through the company reported after the close yesterday that it had added 4.38 million new subscribers. That was well above the company’s own forecast of 3.5 million new subscribers and Wall Street projections of 3.78 million for the third quarter. But the higher than projected number of new subscribers weren’t enough.
July 20, 2021 | Daily JAM, NFLX |
Ater the close on Tuesday, July 19, Netflix reported second quarter results that showed a stunning slowdown in the growth of new subscribers. In the quarter Netflix added just 1.54 million new customers. All of the growth came from the Latin American and Asia-Pacific regions. Netflix los 430,000 customers in the U.S. and Canada market. Adding to the bad news the company projected that in the third quarter it would add just 3.5 million subscribers. That’s well below the Wall Street consensus projection of 5.86 million. In this context revenue and earnings are an afterthought.
July 20, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today investors and traders ran to buy all the re-opening, post-vaccine recovery, cyclical stocks that they dumped yesterday. Macy’s (M) is up 4.29% as of 3:30 p.m. New York time after plunging 4.90% yesterday. Amusement park operator Cedar Fair (FUN) is up 4.12%. Cyclical Dupont (DD) is up 1.34% after closing down 4.46% yesterday. Carnival Cruise (CCL) is ahead 7.83% today after dropping 5.74% yesterday. It’s as if the market has decided that the really scary upward trend in new infections from the spread of the Delta variant is done with and over. Pandemic yesterday. No pandemic today.. The figures from the pandemic front say otherwise. The 14-day change in new cases as of July 19 is 198%. The 14-day change in new deaths is 44%.
July 19, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Today, Monday, July 19, stocks accelerated their retreat from the end of last week on fears that a fourth wave of the pandemic, fueled by the Delta variant, will crush hopes that the economy is headed back to normal. As of the close New York the Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 1.59% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 2.09%. The NASDAQ Composite was off 1.06% and the NASDAQ 100 had dropped 0.90%. The small cap Russell 2000 had fallen 1.51% and the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) was down 1.68%. For the day at least you can see the market’s fears accurately reflected in the list of stocks falling most heavily.
April 20, 2021 | Daily JAM, DIS, Morning Briefing |
This won’t help an already nervous market one bit. Today, April 20, after the close Netflix (NFLX) reported first-quarter subscriber growth way below projections. The stock was down 1.21% in after-hours trading as of 4:30 p.m. New York time.
April 18, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Earnings season will accelerate this week with reports from Coke, Johnson and Johnson, Snap, and Netflix
January 27, 2021 | Daily JAM |
Shares of GameStop (GME) were up another 134.84% today< January 27, to close at $347.51. The stock traded at just $17.25 on January 4, 2021. The heady gains in GameStop have led traders to look for other heavily shorted stocks that might go up BIG as short sellers are forced to buy shares in order to cover their bets that the stocks would fall. So AMC (AMC), the country's largest operator of (closed) movie theaters, gained 301.21% today to close at $19.90. The shares traded at $1.98 on January 5, 2021.
Traders also cast their eyes at American Airlines (AAL), which gained 6.63% today after a mention on Reddit's Wall Street Bets forum tagged "AAL, the next GME.) And it looks like the big gains in these stocks that have come at the expense of short sellers (in what is a classic short squeeze) could be having a negative effect on stock prices outside these retail favorites.
January 22, 2021 | Daily JAM |
After barely dragging higher over the last month, big tech stocks turned red hot this week. And next week, when we get earnings from Microsoft (MSFT), APPLE (AAPL) and Facebook (FB) could be even hotter.
January 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The seventh YouTube video “5 picks for after the pandemic” went up today. Please watch and subscribe to my YouTube channel. And like my video.
January 19, 2021 | Daily JAM |
After the market close today, January 19, Netflix (NFLX) reported that it had added 8.51 million subscribers in the fourth quarter. Wall Street was expecting an add of 6.03 million. In after hours trading shares of Netflix gained 13.13%.
