Can this bounce pass the technical test?

It’s crunch time for this week’s bounce. U.S. stocks have taken back about half the ground they lost in the June tumble after moves up this week, but the market now faces a series of technical tests. For the bounce to turn into something with a somewhat longer life, it’s going to have to show the ability to move through resistance levels over the last trading session of June and into the first sessions of July.

Solving the puzzle of the current market

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A tentative stability in Tokyo today

The recovery in Japanese stocks and the renewed downturn in the yen are hardly strong trends at the moment. I think you can say that the Bank of Japan and traders’ forecasts of what the bank will do have stabilized the yen and Japanese stocks, but that the stability is tenuous and depends on news/rumor/sentiment about the Federal Reserve and on yields in the market for Japanese government bonds.

It’s always hard to read anything into market action ahead of a 3-day weekend

I know everyone would like to make sense of global stock markets today—but the upcoming three-day weekend in the United States makes that really, really difficult. I’m not sure that any news or any news interpretation carries much weight today against the desire of Wall Street professionals to reduce the chance of anything blowing upon them while the markets are closed.