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Wall Street salivating over tomorrow’s official jobs report after strong ADP numbers

Wall Street salivating over tomorrow’s official jobs report after strong ADP numbers

February 6, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 0 comments

The ADP Research Institute report on private payrolls, released yesterday, showed a gain of 291,000 jobs in January. That blew away economist forecasts for 157,000 net new jobs in the month, according to Bloomberg's survey of economists. The January gain would be the...
Should you follow Wall Street’s advice de l’annee for 2020 into emerging market stocks?

Should you follow Wall Street’s advice de l’annee for 2020 into emerging market stocks?

January 17, 2020 | Daily JAM | 0 comments

If 2019 was (and it sure was) the year for putting money into U.S. stocks, will 2020 be the year for putting money to work outside the U.S. and especially in emerging market stocks? The answer from a large--and it seems increasing--number of Wall Street strategists is...
China economy headed to “stable,” U.S. forecast to relative slip

China economy headed to “stable,” U.S. forecast to relative slip

January 16, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 5 comments

China's economy grew by 6.1% in 2019. That's down from 6.6% in 2018. But the 2019 figure meets the government's target, and December industrial output rose 6.9% year over year, ahead of the 5.9% forecast by economists. Retail sales climbed by 8% against a forecast of...
U.S. economy adds 145,000 jobs in December, misses economist forecasts

U.S. economy adds 145,000 jobs in December, misses economist forecasts

January 10, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 0 comments

The U.S. economy added 145,000 jobs in December That did set a record of 10 years of job growth for the economy. But the 145,000 job growth in December was below the 256,000 added in November and below the 160,000 expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. (I would...
U.S. service economy keeps roaring ahead in latest ISM survey

U.S. service economy keeps roaring ahead in latest ISM survey

January 7, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 0 comments

The U.S. manufacturing sector may be in deep and continued contraction, but according to the Institute for Supply Management's Purchasing Managers Non-manufacturing Index, the U.S. service sector--the bulk of the U.S. economy--hit a four-month high in December. The...
U.S. manufacturing sector contracts for fifth straight month

U.S. manufacturing sector contracts for fifth straight month

January 3, 2020 | Daily JAM, You Might Have Missed | 0 comments

Economists who had stayed too long at the egg nog and were predicting a rebound in U.S. manufacturing in December got coal in their stockings today (I promise to stop the Christmas references this week) when the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers...
U.S. manufacturing sector contracts for fifth straight month

A lot of data for a short holiday week

December 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 0 comments

Trading volumes will be low and investors attentions will be focused elsewhere than the financial markets, but this is a week with a surprising amount of market news. Tomorrow, Tuesday December 31, China announces the official Purchasing Managers Index for...
Trick or Trend: Should all these jobs cuts worry investors?

Trick or Trend: Should all these jobs cuts worry investors?

December 27, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend | 1 comment

Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. It's no...

U.S. consumers deliver the sugar plums for holiday shopping

December 26, 2019 | AMZN, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed | 0 comments

Amazon (AMZN) reported today, December 26, that the holiday shopping season broke records for the company this year. Among other high-lights five million new customers started Prime free trials or paid memberships globally, and the number of items delivered with...
U.S. economy adds 145,000 jobs in December, misses economist forecasts

Surprise! U.S. economy adds 266,000 jobs in November; unemployment drops to 3.5%

December 6, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term | 1 comment

The United States added 266,000 jobs in November and the official unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. The results were buoyed by the return to jobs of 41,300 General Motors workers after the settlement of that strike. But the November total was still impressively stronger...
On GDP growth there’s good news and bad news and more bad news

On GDP growth there’s good news and bad news and more bad news

October 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing | 0 comments

The U.S. economy grew at a 1.9% annualized rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported this morning. The good news: The 1.9% growth in GDP was above the 1.6% rate forecast by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The bad news: That 1.9% growth rate was...
U.S. manufacturing sector contracts for fifth straight month

U.S. manufacturing disappoints with continuing contraction for September

October 1, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term | 0 comments

All the major U.S. stock indexes fell today as the Institute for Supply Management’s Purchasing Managers Index for Manufacturing disappointed by sinking further into contraction territory. At 47.8 for September, the index hit a 10-year low. Economists surveyed by...
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