Was yesterday’s drop just a replay of last Thursday or the start of something worse?
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Market sinks; volatility climbs on strong economic news, D.C. chaos
The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index closed down 1.54% today and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.94%. Gold picked up 0.87%. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) broke above 15 again soaring 31.94% on the day. There was just too much for the markets to cope with today. On the fundamental front U.S. initial claims for unemployment dropped again in the last week
Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…
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Not a lot of conviction today: Markets refuse to bounce or to fall farther
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Good luck on getting that done: Debt ceiling truce looks to be over (if it ever really existed)
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Haven assets in demand after day of heated rhetoric on North Korea and nukes
Not surprisingly haven assets such as gold and the Japanese yen are up today. So are volatility measures such as the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX.) Surprisingly, the rush to safety hasn’t been as strong as you might expect after a day when U.S.President Donald Trump threatened North Korea with fire and fury and that country responded by threatening to nuke Guam.
Why the huge intraday swing in stocks? The reason matters
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No volatility anywhere
By this time you’re certainly aware that volatility in the U.S. stock market is near record lows. (It’a actually below record lows when you recalibrate the VIX for revisions to that index.) But the lack of volatility in the bond market may have escaped your attention. It’s even more pronounced than the lows in the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX.)
Notes You Need for August 2: Amazon gaming, EuroZone GDP, volatility, VMC, July jobs from ADP, AMC, debt ceiling
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After oil settles at $49.16, another report increases downward pressure on prices
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No progress in debt ceiling talks today–only 12 working days left until Treasury’s September 29 deadline
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