July 16, 2019 | BAC, C, Daily JAM |
Th Federal Reserve gives and the Federal Reserve takes away. In 2018 JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported the biggest profit in banking history--$32.5 billion--as a result of the December 2017 tax cuts and higher interest rates from the Fed. With the tax cuts now more a year...
July 16, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, TSN |
Today I'm making Tyson Foods (TSN) the fifth and final value pick in my Special Report 5 Value Stocks for a Market at an All-time High. It's clear that shares of Tyson Foods are cheap. The stock trades at 14.57 times trailing 12-month earnings per share and at a...
July 16, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
At a cabinet meeting today President Donald Trump wanted to remind everyone that he could still impose additional tariffs on Chinese imports if he wants. The President also expressed impatience that the truce in the trade war with China hadn't yet resulted in a pickup...
July 15, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Okay, we all know that the current rally that has pushed U.S. equities to one record after another is built on cheap money. That is on a Federal Reserve that has promised to cut interest rates one, two, or maybe even three times in 2019. And on a hope on Wall Street...
July 15, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Of course, we can't trust China's official GDP statistics. Government economists cook the books so that China's growth stays within the goals set by the country's leaders every year. But investors should pay attention to the trend. And this quarter the trend is...
July 13, 2019 | Daily JAM |
... bank stocks to carry us into the heart of earnings season. And going into earnings reports for the big banks on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, bank earnings look strong for the second quarter. Citigroup (C) reports first on Monday with Wall Street calling for...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Friday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. It's no...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Notes You Need |
In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don't justify a full post. I've decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I'm calling Notes...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, TBX, Volatility |
I bought this position in the Pro Shares Short 7-10 Year Treasury ETF (TBX) in my Volatility Portfolio on February 2, 2018, back in the days when it looked like the Federal Reserve was firmly locked into a policy of interest rate increases. An interest rate increase...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VGIT, VGSH, Volatility |
Treasury prices have been a little weak over the last two weeks. As a consequence the Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) and the Vanguard Short Term Treasury ETF (VGSH), for example, have dropped from highs on June 25 of $66.03 and $60.94, respectively, to...
July 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Trade analysts call Singapore's export-driven economy the canary in the coal mine for the global economy. In which case that canary is looking kind of wobbly lately. Singapore's GDP contracted at an annualized 3.4% rate in the second quarter. That's the biggest...
July 11, 2019 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
Looking at what I called "the shortish short term" in a post yesterday, I said that in that time frame the market is likely to behave as if nothing much matters besides the Federal Reserve and interest rate cuts. The logic, I argued, works like this: We're in the...