The dangers in a highly correlated market
Measures of volatility such as the VIX "fear index," the ratio of the implied volatility of S&P 500 put and call options, and the demand in the options market for protection against low-probability events, all say that investors and traders believe this is a...
Inflation isn’t exactly dead
Wall Street is counting on the Federal Reserve to stay on the sidelines until September and then resume cutting interest rates. Some big money advisors are even counting on the Fed to cut interest rates again before September. Bloomberg ran an interview this morning...
Dividend Portfolio member Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico up on USMCA news and November traffic
It certainly didn't hurt that House Democrats have agreed to support the revised U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal, and to put it to a vote before the end of this session of Congress on December 20. But neither did Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico's (PAC) preliminary...
Democrats sign onto revised U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement with vote likely next week
Washington, D.C. is the home of the surreal these days but the timing of the announcement by Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi still raised eyebrows. Just minutes after the House committees investigating President Donald Trump voted two articles of impeachment,...
First three bargain stock picks for my Special Report
In my set up to this Special Report: 12 Bargain Stocks NOW I laid out the reasons for adding some bargain stocks to a portfolio. (You can find that set up in my Special Report in the Special Reports pane on the home page of JubakAM.com. I'll add these picks to that...
It’s getting to look a lot like end of the year volatility
Remember how back in September a spike in very short term overnight rates in the repo market kicked off volatility across the financial markets until the Federal reserve flooded that market with liquidity? Well, signs are that we could see the kind of spike in...
China exports drop again in November
China's total exports dropped 1.1% year over year in November, the country's customs administration said on Sunday. Total exports to the United States fell 23% year over year. That was the worst result for exports to the United States since February and a 12th...
Saturday Night Quarterback (on a Sunday) says, For the week ahead expect…
... central bank week. The Federal Reserve announces changes to U.S. benchmark interest rates on Wednesday, December 11. The central bank is expected to keep rates at current levels. The European Central Bank meets a day later, on Thursday, December 12. It too is...
Trick or trend: Are chip stocks going to lead the market again?
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. First, chip...
Notes You Need for December 6: Amazon shipping delays, home buyers aging, truck orders, AI, Apple 2020 products, Macao gaming, GE’s penny dividend, Qualcomm fine
In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don't justify a full post. I've decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I'm calling Notes...
Surprise! U.S. economy adds 266,000 jobs in November; unemployment drops to 3.5%
The United States added 266,000 jobs in November and the official unemployment rate fell to 3.5%. The results were buoyed by the return to jobs of 41,300 General Motors workers after the settlement of that strike. But the November total was still impressively stronger...Download Jim’s eBook for Free
