Mid Term

BIS warns again about China’s serious and growing debt problem

Today’s warning from the Bank for International Settlements was the most dire yet. What’s called the credit-t0-GDP gap climbed to 30.1%. This measure, which compares the current credit-to-GDP ratio and its long term trend is now the highest for China in the data series that stretches back to 1995. The Bank for International Settlements says that any gap above 10% signals elevated strains in a country’s banking system

What me worry?

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Brexit: The bass-ackwards crisis

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Why the post-Brexit crisis isn’t just like the others

Any post-Brexit crisis will will be a slow motion crisis driven by a gradual slowdown in economic growth in the United Kingdom, the European Union, Japan, China and the United States that results in a dimming of prospects for corporate earnings growth. The crisis will be interrupted periodically, as it has been in the last two days, by the hope that this time central banks will be able to intervene and get this or that economy growing again