April 5, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As bad as Friday's employment report for March was, the April and May reports will be worse. All you have to do is look at the numbers for the retail sector. The March report showed roughly 50,000 jobs lost in the month in the retail sector. In recent weeks more...
April 3, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
The U.S economy lost 701,000 jobs in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced this morning. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4% in March from 3.5%, a 50-year low, in February. The survey behind the numbers was completed by March 12 so it didn't capture the full...
April 2, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
I'm finding it hard to wrap my head around exactly how bad the economy is and how fast the collapse has been. Today's report of 6.65 million new claims for unemployment for the week ended March 28 exploded through the record number of new claims set just the prior...
April 1, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Not much mystery to today's selling. Investors and traders were trimming positions--or more--ahead of tomorrow's report on initial claims for unemployment. Last week brought a record 3.28 million new claims for unemployment as the coronavirus and "shelter in place"...
March 31, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The first tankers in what looks like a long fleet of tankers are loading now in Saudi Arabia on their way to Europe and the United States in April. The Saudi government looks to be making good on its announced increase in output to a record 12.3 million barrels a day...
March 30, 2020 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, You Might Have Missed |
As of noon New York time, today March 30, U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate fell another 5.67% to $20.29 a barrel. International benchmark Brent dropped 9.83% to $22.45 a barrel. That's an 18-year low for oil. And worse is yet to come. The world has run out of...
March 27, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The House of Representatives jumped one last procedural hurdle and sent the $2.2 trillion coronavirus bill to President Trump for his signature. Meanwhile... Italy reported 919 coronavirus deaths in one day, the largest single-day toll reported by any country. The...
March 26, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Today Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said the surge in Americans filing for unemployment benefits is “not relevant.” Mnuchin told CNBC, “The president is protecting those people.” For the week ended March 21, initial claims for unemployment soared to a record 3.28...
March 25, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
As I write this at 1:20 p.m. New York time on Wednesday, March 25, the Senate is debating the $2 billion (or is it even more now?) coronavirus rescue bill. The consensus is that the chamber will vote and pass the bill sometime this afternoon and then send it to the...
March 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Stocks are up Big Time today on speculation that the Senate will finally pass a $1.8 trillion (remember when it was just $1.2 trillion?) coronavirus rescue package. As of the close today, March 24, the Standard & Poor's 500 was up 9.38% to 2437.33, and the Dow...
March 23, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
I've been operating on the assumption for the last week of so that the Senate in particular and Congress in general would, of course, pass a coronavirus rescue bill. (I have been calling it a "stimulus: bill but given how quickly the economy, unemployment, and small...
March 20, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
In the credit markets investors and traders are selling everything. Safe. Risky. Doesn't make any difference. And that's creating a potential shortage of dollars. When you sell corporate bonds, you take dollars out of the credit market. When companies draw down credit...